棕榈油：基本面暂无新驱动，等待回调布多，豆油：四季度缺豆交易暂缓，高位震荡整理

Report Summary 1. Report Industry Investment Rating No investment rating information is provided in the report. 2. Core Viewpoints - For palm oil, there is no new fundamental driver, and investors are advised to wait for a price pullback to initiate long positions [1]. - For soybean oil, the trading sentiment related to the potential soybean shortage in the fourth quarter has eased, and the price is expected to fluctuate within a high - level range [1]. 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs 3.1 Fundamental Tracking - Futures Data: - Palm oil主力: Closing price (day session) was 9,488 yuan/ton with a - 0.23% change; (night session) 9,542 yuan/ton with a 0.57% change. Trading volume was 36,525 lots, a decrease of 12,233 lots, and open interest was 42,108 lots, a decrease of 13,283 lots [1]. - Soybean oil主力: Closing price (day session) was 8,536 yuan/ton with a 0.52% change; (night session) 8,514 yuan/ton with a - 0.26% change. Trading volume was 35,235 lots, an increase of 1,154 lots, and open interest was 52,615 lots, a decrease of 18,859 lots [1]. - Rapeseed oil主力: Closing price (day session) was 9,998 yuan/ton with a 0.03% change; (night session) 9,918 yuan/ton with a - 0.80% change. Trading volume was 14,288 lots, a decrease of 1,353 lots, and open interest was 24,389 lots, a decrease of 4,695 lots [1]. - Malaysian palm oil主力: Closing price was 4,493 ringgit/ton with a - 0.84% change; (night session) 4,482 ringgit/ton with a - 0.22% change [1]. - CBOT soybean oil主力: Closing price was 54.84 cents/pound with a - 0.87% change [1]. - Spot Data: - 24 - degree palm oil in Guangdong: Spot price was 9,620 yuan/ton, with a price increase of 80 yuan/ton [1]. - First - grade soybean oil in Guangdong: Spot price was 8,720 yuan/ton, with a price increase of 50 yuan/ton [1]. - Fourth - grade imported rapeseed oil in Guangxi: Spot price was 9,910 yuan/ton, with a price increase of 30 yuan/ton [1]. - Malaysian palm oil FOB offshore price (continuous contract): Spot price was 1,115 dollars/ton, with a price increase of 15 dollars/ton [1]. - Basis Data: - Palm oil in Guangdong: Basis was 132 yuan/ton [1]. - Soybean oil in Guangdong: Basis was 184 yuan/ton [1]. - Rapeseed oil in Guangxi: Basis was - 88 yuan/ton [1]. - Spread Data: - Rapeseed - palm oil futures主力 spread: 309 yuan/ton, compared to 298 yuan/ton two days ago [1]. - Soybean - palm oil futures主力 spread: - 1,094 yuan/ton, compared to - 1,134 yuan/ton two days ago [1]. - Palm oil 9 - 1 spread: - 94 yuan/ton, compared to - 82 yuan/ton two days ago [1]. - Soybean oil 9 - 1 spread: 48 yuan/ton, compared to 34 yuan/ton two days ago [1]. - Rapeseed oil 9 - 1 spread: 107 yuan/ton, compared to 105 yuan/ton two days ago [1]. 3.2 Macro and Industry News - ITS reported that Malaysia's palm oil exports from August 1 - 25, 2025, were 1,141,661 tons, a 10.9% increase compared to the same period last month [2]. - Indonesia urged the EU to immediately cancel the anti - subsidy tax on imported biodiesel after the WTO supported several key claims in Indonesia's complaint. Indonesia and the EU are closer to signing a free - trade agreement after a political agreement in July [4]. - USDA's crop growth report showed that as of August 24, 2025, the good - to - excellent rate of US soybeans was 69%, higher than the market expectation of 67%, and the pod - setting rate was 89% [4]. - Secex data indicated that Brazil exported 7,257,837.70 tons of soybeans in the first four weeks of August, with an average daily export volume of 453,614.86 tons, a 24% increase compared to the average daily export volume in August last year [4]. - Canada's rapeseed exports in the week ending August 17 decreased by 64.34% to 90,800 tons. From August 1 to August 17, 2025, exports were 355,900 tons, a 46.16% decrease compared to the same period last year. As of August 17, the commercial inventory was 793,400 tons [5]. - In July 2025, Canada's rapeseed crushing volume was 968,515 tons, a 13.13% increase from the previous month and a 3.65% decrease from the same period last year. The rapeseed oil production was 408,898 tons, a 12.15% increase from the previous month and a 5.89% decrease from the same period last year. The rapeseed meal production was 571,012 tons, a 12.62% increase from the previous month and a 1.42% decrease from the same period last year [5]. 3.3 Trend Intensity - Palm oil trend intensity was 0, and soybean oil trend intensity was also 0, indicating a neutral outlook [6].