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“超调”信用债配置价值渐显
Changjiang Securities·2025-08-26 05:13
  1. Report Industry Investment Rating - Not provided in the given content 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - The current credit bond market is at a turning point with both pressure and opportunities. The yield has risen to the high of the year, making the absolute value prominent, especially the allocation cost - performance of the over - adjusted long - term varieties is gradually emerging. The liability side of wealth management has not shown large - scale redemption negative feedback, and the net purchase volume of credit bonds on the investment side remains relatively stable. It is recommended to make an optimal layout under the premise of stable liabilities, adopt a barbell strategy to balance defense and opportunities, control the overall duration within 3 years to maintain flexibility, and pay attention to the structural spread opportunities of credit bonds brought by the new bond VAT regulations [2][6]. 3. Summary According to Relevant Catalogs 3.1 Yield and Spread Overview 3.1.1 Yields and Changes of Each Term - Yields of various bonds such as national bonds, national development bonds, local government bonds, and different types of credit bonds (including urban investment bonds, industrial bonds, etc.) at different terms (0.5Y, 1Y, 2Y, 3Y, 5Y) are presented, along with their weekly changes and historical quantiles. For example, the 0.5Y national bond yield is 1.38%, with a weekly change of 0.3bp and a historical quantile of 9.1% [15]. 3.1.2 Spreads and Changes of Each Term - Credit spreads of various bonds at different terms are shown, including their weekly changes and historical quantiles. For instance, the 0.5Y credit spread of public non - perpetual urban investment bonds is 18bp, with a weekly change of 0bp and a historical quantile of 3.2% [18]. 3.2 Credit Bond Yields and Spreads Classified by Category (Hermite Algorithm) 3.2.1 Urban Investment Bonds by Region - Yields and Changes of Each Term: Yields of public non - perpetual urban investment bonds in different provinces at different terms, along with their weekly changes and historical quantiles, are provided. For example, the 0.5Y yield of Anhui's public non - perpetual urban investment bonds is 1.77%, with a weekly change of 4bp and a historical quantile of 3.0% [21]. - Spreads and Changes of Each Term: Credit spreads of public non - perpetual urban investment bonds in different provinces at different terms, their weekly changes, and historical quantiles are given. For example, the 0.5Y credit spread of Anhui's public non - perpetual urban investment bonds is 26.11bp, with a weekly change of 1bp and a historical quantile of 4.4% [24]. - Yields and Changes of Each Implicit Rating: Yields of different implicit ratings (AAA, AA +, AA, etc.) of public non - perpetual urban investment bonds in different provinces, along with their weekly changes and historical quantiles, are presented. For example, the AAA - rated 0.5Y yield of Anhui's public non - perpetual urban investment bonds is 1.79%, with a weekly change of 5.1bp [28]. - Spreads and Changes of Each Implicit Rating: Credit spreads of different implicit ratings of public non - perpetual urban investment bonds in different provinces, their weekly changes, and historical quantiles are shown. For example, the AAA - rated credit spread of Anhui's public non - perpetual urban investment bonds is 21.99bp, with a weekly change of 1.68bp and a historical quantile of 19.4% [33].