“重估牛”系列之资金篇（一）：居民存款“搬家”，增量资金流向何方？

Group 1 - The report indicates that from July 2025 to August 2025, the market exhibited a typical "fund-driven" characteristic, with resident funds shifting from bank wealth management products to non-bank wealth management products and capital markets [3][6][20] - The increase in financing balances across various industries correlates positively with industry performance, suggesting that the inflow of funds is driving market trends [7][61][65] - Small and large funds have shown a preference for sectors such as machinery, electronics, and pharmaceuticals, with significant inflows noted in these areas during the specified period [7][51][61] Group 2 - The report highlights that the M1 and M2 growth rates have rebounded, indicating a potential trend of wealth management funds gradually flowing into the stock market [6][20][22] - The ratio of resident deposits to A-share circulating market value is approximately 1.7, which is near the 90th percentile since 2005, suggesting substantial room for further inflows into the capital market [6][22][24] - The financing balance for the ChiNext and Sci-Tech 50 indices has seen a stable increase, indicating a growing preference for technology and growth sectors among leveraged funds [7][26][40] Group 3 - The report notes that from July 1 to August 19, 2025, the financing balance for the machinery, communication, and pharmaceutical sectors has significantly increased, with machinery financing balance surpassing a nearly 10-year high [7][42][48] - The report identifies that small funds have consistently flowed into sectors like electronics, computers, and machinery, while large funds began to enter these sectors more significantly in August 2025 [51][56][61] - The report emphasizes that the inflow of funds into the market is primarily driven by small and large funds, which have shown a clear positive correlation with market performance [7][61][65]