液化石油气日报：市场氛围尚可，现货价格普涨-20250826

Report Summary 1. Investment Rating No investment rating for the industry is provided in the report. 2. Core View After a long - term weak market, there are some marginal positive factors (rising international freight and improved chemical demand) in the LPG market, and market sentiment has improved. With the main contract on the domestic futures market switching to 2510, the market shows signs of bottoming out and rebounding. Spot prices in Shandong, South China, and East China have generally increased, and the market atmosphere is fair. However, considering that the supply - demand pattern of LPG has not changed substantially, the driving force and space for continuous upward movement of the market may be limited [1]. 3. Summary by Section Market Analysis - On August 25, regional prices were as follows: Shandong market, 4500 - 4630; Northeast market, 3850 - 4130; North China market, 4100 - 4550; East China market, 4350 - 4480; Yangtze River market, 4610 - 4790; Northwest market, 4450 - 4500; South China market, 4528 - 4550 [1]. - In the second half of September 2025, the CIF price of frozen propane in East China was 581 dollars/ton, down 2 dollars/ton, and butane was 556 dollars/ton, down 2 dollars/ton. In RMB terms, propane was 4552 yuan/ton, down 26 yuan/ton, and butane was 4356 yuan/ton, down 25 yuan/ton. In South China, the CIF price of frozen propane was 573 dollars/ton, down 2 dollars/ton, and butane was 546 dollars/ton, down 4 dollars/ton. In RMB terms, propane was 4489 yuan/ton, down 26 yuan/ton, and butane was 4277 yuan/ton, down 41 yuan/ton [1]. Strategy - Unilateral: The market is expected to be short - term oscillating and bullish. Traders can focus on short - term rebound opportunities at low levels of PG, but the upside space is limited. There are no strategies for inter - period, inter - variety, spot - futures, or options trading [2].