新兴铸管（000778）：季度盈利环比大增，关注基建需求潜力

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, indicating a positive outlook based on its market performance and growth potential [6]. Core Views - The company reported a revenue of 17.728 billion yuan in the first half of 2025, a year-on-year decrease of 5.36%, while the net profit attributable to shareholders was 404 million yuan, down 5.58% year-on-year. However, the second quarter showed a significant recovery with a net profit of 267 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 3.92% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 94.77% [1]. - The company is positioned as a leader in the ductile iron pipe industry in China, benefiting from urban pipeline renovations and water conservancy facility construction. The projected net profits for 2025 to 2027 are 820 million yuan, 990 million yuan, and 1.23 billion yuan, respectively, with corresponding P/E ratios of 18.6, 15.4, and 12.4 [3][6]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In the first half of 2025, the company achieved a revenue of 17.728 billion yuan, a decrease of 5.36% year-on-year. The net profit attributable to the parent company was 404 million yuan, down 5.58% year-on-year, with basic earnings per share of 0.1018 yuan, a decrease of 5.04% [1]. - The second quarter of 2025 saw a recovery with a net profit of 267 million yuan, marking a year-on-year increase of 3.92% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 94.77% [1]. Production and Sales - The sales volume of metal products increased by 8.22% year-on-year in the first half of 2025, with ductile iron pipe sales up by 5.43%. The company aims for a production target of 9.92 million tons of metal products in 2025, a year-on-year increase of 22.6% [2]. - The company has successfully launched a 250,000-ton ductile iron pipe project in Egypt and is establishing a distribution network in the Middle East and North Africa [2]. Market Outlook - The water conservancy construction investment in China reached 532.9 billion yuan in the first half of 2025, with various projects underway. Infrastructure investment (excluding electricity) grew by 3.2% year-on-year from January to July 2025, indicating a positive trend for the company's business [3]. - The company is expected to benefit from ongoing government support for infrastructure projects, including urban underground pipeline renovations and large-scale industrial equipment upgrades [3].