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安图生物(603658):收入季度趋势向好,海外布局驱动成长

Investment Rating - The investment rating for Antu Biology (603658) is not explicitly stated in the provided documents, but the analysis suggests a positive outlook based on revenue growth and market positioning [1][2]. Core Views - The report highlights that Antu Biology's revenue trend is improving, driven by overseas expansion, with a total revenue of 2.06 billion yuan in the first half of 2025, reflecting a year-over-year decrease of 6.65% [1][2]. - The company's profitability remains stable, with a gross margin of 64.43% in the first half of 2025, despite a slight decline due to policy impacts [2]. - The report projects revenue growth for 2025-2027, estimating revenues of 4.46 billion, 5.12 billion, and 5.91 billion yuan, with corresponding net profits of 1.22 billion, 1.40 billion, and 1.65 billion yuan [2][3]. Summary by Sections Revenue Trends - In the first half of 2025, Antu Biology achieved a revenue of 2.06 billion yuan, with Q1 and Q2 revenues of 996 million yuan and 1.06 billion yuan respectively, showing a narrowing decline [2]. - Domestic revenue was 1.90 billion yuan, down 8.32% year-over-year, primarily due to policy impacts such as DRGS and centralized procurement [2]. - International revenue reached 157 million yuan, up 19.78% year-over-year, attributed to the company's global market expansion efforts [2]. Profitability Analysis - The gross margin for the first half of 2025 was 64.43%, with a decline in reagent business margin to 68.44% due to centralized procurement policies [2]. - The selling expense ratio increased to 18.88%, while the R&D expense ratio decreased to 12.15%, indicating a strategic focus on capitalizing R&D expenses [2]. Financial Projections - Revenue projections for 2025-2027 are 4.46 billion, 5.12 billion, and 5.91 billion yuan, with year-over-year growth rates of -0.3%, 14.9%, and 15.3% respectively [2][3]. - Net profit estimates for the same period are 1.22 billion, 1.40 billion, and 1.65 billion yuan, with growth rates of 2.6%, 14.6%, and 17.5% [2][3].