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皖能电力(000543):2Q25归母净利增速转正,毛利率环比修复

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, expecting a relative increase of over 20% in stock price compared to the market benchmark index within the next six months [6][14]. Core Views - The company reported a revenue of 13.185 billion yuan in 1H2025, a year-on-year decrease of 5.83%, while the net profit attributable to shareholders increased by 1.05% to 1.082 billion yuan [3][4]. - In 2Q2025, the company achieved a net profit of 638 million yuan, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 3.26%, indicating a recovery in profit margins [5]. - The company is accelerating its energy transition by increasing its renewable energy capacity, with 1.5 million kilowatts of renewable projects under construction and a target for significant growth in renewable energy installations by 2025 [5]. Financial Performance Summary - For 1H2025, the company's revenue decreased by 5.83%, primarily due to a 7.9% decline in power generation from thermal power in Anhui province and a 5.35% drop in electricity prices [4]. - The average price of coal decreased by 21.25% year-on-year, contributing to a slight increase in net profit [4][5]. - The company's gross margin and net margin improved to 17.41% and 13.43%, respectively, in 2Q2025, showing improvements both year-on-year and quarter-on-quarter [5]. Earnings Forecast - The company is projected to generate revenues of 32.086 billion yuan, 30.722 billion yuan, and 30.287 billion yuan for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively, with corresponding net profits of 2.175 billion yuan, 2.337 billion yuan, and 2.436 billion yuan [6][7].