可转债择券系列专题:“反内卷”板块转债精选
- Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - "Anti - involution" related convertible bonds are cost - effective absolute - return assets. The position and bond selection of "anti - involution" sector convertible bonds are the "decisive factors" for the future market due to three reasons: large capital capacity, high cost - performance of underlying stocks, and low bond prices with debt - bottom value support [1][9]. - Five convertible bonds are recommended: Youfa Convertible Bond, Wankai Convertible Bond, Keshun Convertible Bond, Feng 22 Convertible Bond, and Tian 23 Convertible Bond [3][11]. 3. Summary According to the Directory 3.1 Overall Logic and Layout Ideas - Large capital capacity: "Anti - involution" sector has a large number of convertible bonds. Industries such as power equipment and basic chemicals have many convertible bonds in existence. If "anti - involution" progresses beyond expectations, it may drive up the underlying stocks and the convertible bond index [1][9]. - High cost - performance of underlying stocks: Some industries' underlying stocks, like those in steel, basic chemicals, and power equipment, are under pressure. But "anti - involution" may improve supply - demand, and the leading enterprises may have stronger profit elasticity after industry clearance. Also, the stock prices are low, so there is potential for valuation repair [2][10]. - Low bond prices with debt - bottom value support: Most "anti - involution" related convertible bonds have conversion values below 120 yuan, and many are in the 60 - 90 yuan and 90 - 120 yuan ranges. Debt - type/balanced convertible bonds have better debt - bottom protection, suitable for absolute - return funds [2][10]. 3.2 Individual Bond Selection 3.2.1 Youfa Group/Youfa Convertible Bond - Youfa Group is the largest domestic welded - steel pipe enterprise. In 2025, the welded - pipe price declined. With the improvement of downstream demand and the new supply - side reform in the steel industry, the company plans to expand its domestic and overseas layouts [14][15]. 3.2.2 Wankai New Materials/Wankai Convertible Bond - Wankai New Materials is a leading domestic polyester material enterprise. In 2024, the domestic polyester bottle - chip market had increased production but decreased prices. New applications may bring new demand. Many enterprises in the industry are reducing production, which may optimize the supply - demand pattern and increase the company's profitability [20][23]. 3.2.3 Keshun Co., Ltd./Keshun Convertible Bond - Keshun focuses on building waterproofing solutions. The domestic waterproofing industry is highly fragmented, but the new regulations may benefit leading enterprises. Keshun will expand its retail, non - real - estate, and overseas businesses, and improve profitability through R & D and cost reduction [26][31]. 3.2.4 Xin Fengming/Feng 22 Convertible Bond - Xin Fengming is a major player in the polyester fiber industry. The upstream raw material supply is abundant, which is beneficial for the polyester end. Due to environmental policies and industry integration, some small enterprises are being eliminated, and the industry structure is being optimized [32][33]. 3.2.5 Trina Solar/Tian 23 Convertible Bond - Trina Solar is involved in photovoltaic products, energy storage, and system solutions. The Chinese photovoltaic industry faces challenges, but the "anti - involution" action and policy support may bring price recovery, technology premium, and industry integration, and improve the company's profitability and stock valuation [38][39].