KEDE Numerical (SH:688305) Donghai Securities·2025-08-26 08:54Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [1][10]. Core Insights - The company reported a revenue of 295 million yuan for the first half of 2025, representing a year-on-year growth of 15.24%, driven by significant demand for automated production line orders [8]. - The net profit attributable to the parent company reached 49 million yuan, with a year-on-year increase of 1.27%, which was lower than revenue growth due to increased share-based payment expenses, employee salaries, and R&D costs [8]. - The gross margin and net margin were 38.67% and 16.64%, respectively, with a decline in gross margin attributed to the high proportion of production line business [8]. - The company has made breakthroughs in the aerospace and military sectors, expanding its user base and gaining recognition from leading industry players [8]. - The demand for five-axis CNC machine tools in the civilian sector has increased, with significant growth in new orders for the company's products [8]. - R&D investment totaled 98 million yuan in the first half of 2025, a year-on-year increase of 27.10%, accounting for 33.34% of revenue [8]. - The company is nearing the completion of its capacity expansion, with new production lines set to start trial operations in 2025 [8]. - The company is positioned as a leader in high-end CNC machine tools, with core components being self-controlled and product margins remaining high [8]. Financial Summary - Total revenue is projected to grow from 605.47 million yuan in 2024 to 1,112.04 million yuan in 2027, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of approximately 24.96% [7]. - Net profit attributable to the parent company is expected to increase from 129.89 million yuan in 2024 to 230.38 million yuan in 2027, reflecting a CAGR of 25.53% [7]. - The diluted EPS is forecasted to rise from 0.98 yuan in 2024 to 1.73 yuan in 2027, with corresponding P/E ratios decreasing from 63.84 to 35.99 [7].