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郑中设计(002811):业务结构调优业绩快速增长,现金充足保障分红

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Accumulate" (maintained) [2] Core Views - The company has shown rapid growth in performance due to business structure optimization and has sufficient cash flow to support dividends [10] - The company reported a revenue of 632 million yuan for the first half of 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 22.56%, and a net profit of 94 million yuan, up 45.90% year-on-year [10] - The company plans to distribute a cash dividend of 2.5 yuan per 10 shares, with a dividend payout ratio of 79.66% [10] Financial Performance - Revenue projections for 2025-2027 are 1.365 billion yuan, 1.479 billion yuan, and 1.606 billion yuan respectively, with net profits of 121 million yuan, 148 million yuan, and 172 million yuan [10][11] - The company achieved a gross margin of 36.04% in the first half of 2025, an increase of 2.2 percentage points year-on-year [10] - The company’s cash flow from operating activities for the first half of 2025 was 83 million yuan, an increase of 49 million yuan year-on-year [10] Business Segments - The design and soft decoration segments have shown strong growth, with revenues increasing by 29.92% and 43.75% respectively in the first half of 2025 [10] - New orders signed in the first half of 2025 totaled 1.162 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 65.9%, with design and soft decoration orders growing by 41.2% and 132.5% respectively [10] - As of June 30, 2025, the total amount of signed but uncompleted orders was 3.561 billion yuan, indicating a solid order reserve [10] Valuation Metrics - The price-to-earnings (PE) ratios for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are projected to be 29.1, 23.7, and 20.4 respectively [10][11] - The return on equity (ROE) is expected to improve from -4.2% in 2023 to 19.5% by 2027 [11]