GUOTAI HAITONG SECURITIES·2025-08-26 11:16Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for Chongqing Bank with a target price of 12.30 CNY [6][2] Core Views - Chongqing Bank's revenue and net profit attributable to shareholders showed a slight increase compared to Q1 2025, with asset quality continuing to improve. The bank benefits from strong regional dynamics and robust credit demand, supported by strategic initiatives in the Chengdu-Chongqing economic circle and other major projects [2][13] - The bank's management is actively enhancing pricing management and asset quality, leading to an upward cycle in profitability. The expected net profit growth rates for 2025-2027 are adjusted to 5.5%, 8.9%, and 9.0% respectively [13][2] Financial Summary - Revenue for 2023 is projected at 13,211 million CNY, with a growth forecast of 3.5% for 2024 and 7.0% for 2025 [4] - Net profit attributable to shareholders is expected to reach 4,930 million CNY in 2023, with growth rates of 3.8% in 2024 and 5.5% in 2025 [4] - The bank's net asset value per share is projected to be 14.37 CNY in 2023, increasing to 16.41 CNY by 2025 [4] Asset and Liability Overview - Total assets are expected to reach 856,642 million CNY in 2023, with a significant increase anticipated in subsequent years [8] - The bank's loan total is projected to be 438,295 million CNY in 2023, with a steady growth trajectory [8] - The core Tier 1 capital adequacy ratio is reported at 13.36%, indicating a strong capital position to support future growth [8] Performance Metrics - The bank's net interest margin for the first half of 2025 is reported at 1.39%, showing a slight recovery compared to the previous year [15] - The non-performing loan ratio decreased to 1.17% by the end of Q2 2025, reflecting improved asset quality [15] - The bank's profitability indicators, such as return on equity (ROE) and return on assets (ROA), are projected to remain stable, with ROE at 9.14% for 2025 [14]