Report Industry Investment Rating - Not mentioned in the provided content Core View of the Report - The fundamentals provide weak support for the futures price, and it is expected to be mainly in a weak oscillation pattern [3] Summary by Related Catalogs Lithium Compounds - SMM battery - grade lithium carbonate average price is 82,500 yuan, down 1,400 yuan; SMM industrial - grade lithium carbonate average price is 80,200 yuan, down 1,400 yuan [1] Lithium Futures Contracts - Lithium carbonate 2509 closed at 79,580 yuan, down 0.72%; 2510 closed at 79,580 yuan, down 0.45%; 2511 closed at 79,380 yuan, down 0.3%; 2512 closed at 79,040 yuan, down 0.15%; 2601 closed at 78,700 yuan, down 0.15% [1] Lithium Ore - Lithium spodumene concentrate (CIF China) is 925 yuan, down 9 yuan; lithium mica (Li20: 1.5% - 2.0%) is 1,265 yuan, down 20 yuan; lithium mica (Li20: 2.0% - 2.5%) is 1,995 yuan, down 60 yuan; phospho - lithium - aluminum stone (Li20: 6% - 7%) is 6,685 yuan; phospho - lithium - aluminum stone (Li20: 7% - 8%) is 7,735 yuan, down 90 yuan [1][2] Cathode Materials - The average price of lithium iron phosphate (power type) is 35,810 yuan, down 340 yuan; the average price of ternary material 811 (polycrystalline/power type) is 145,950 yuan, down 60 yuan; the average price of ternary material 523 (single - crystal/power type) is 119,525 yuan, down 300 yuan; the average price of ternary material 613 (single - crystal/power type) is 123,985 yuan, down 100 yuan [2] Price Spreads - The difference between battery - grade and industrial - grade lithium carbonate is 2,300 yuan, with no change; the difference between battery - grade lithium carbonate and the main contract is 3,120 yuan, down 1,820 yuan; the difference between the near - month and the first - continuous contract is 0 yuan, with no change; the difference between the near - month and the second - continuous contract is 200 yuan, up 20 yuan [2] Inventory - The total inventory (weekly, tons) is 141,543 tons, down 713 tons; the inventory of smelters (weekly, tons) is 46,846 tons, down 2,847 tons; the inventory of downstream (weekly, tons) is 51,507 tons, up 3,224 tons; the inventory of others (weekly, tons) is 43,190 tons, down 1,090 tons; the registered warehouse receipts (daily, tons) is 25,630 tons, up 640 tons [2] Profit Estimation - The cash cost of purchasing lithium spodumene concentrate is 78,817 yuan, and the profit is 2,516 yuan; the cash cost of purchasing lithium mica concentrate is 81,868 yuan, and the profit is - 5,641 yuan [3] Industry Event - A meeting of the lithium iron phosphate material branch council was held to discuss industry over - capacity reduction and low - carbon transformation paths [3] Supply and Demand Analysis - Although there is a production cut in the Jiangxi mica segment, overseas mines, overseas salt lakes, and domestic compliant mines have provided supplements, showing a structural adjustment on the supply side. On the demand side, weekly production is basically stable, with inventory moving from upstream to downstream but limited actual consumption [3]
碳酸锂数据日报-20250826
Guo Mao Qi Huo·2025-08-26 12:16