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恒辉安防(300952):越南业务投产,毛利率受产能爬坡影响

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" [1] Core Views - The company's revenue for H1 2025 reached 593 million, with a net profit attributable to the parent company of 55 million, reflecting year-on-year growth of 15.43% and 11.82% respectively [2] - The decline in gross margin is attributed to capacity ramp-up, impacting net profit growth rates [2][3] - The company plans to distribute a cash dividend of 0.8 yuan per 10 shares, resulting in a dividend payout ratio of 24.87% and an annualized dividend yield of 0.53% [2] Summary by Sections Revenue and Profitability - In H1 2025, the company reported revenue of 593 million and a net profit of 55 million, with significant contributions from government subsidies [2] - The gross margin for H1 2025 was 22.26%, down 2.49 percentage points year-on-year, while the net profit margin was 9.27%, a decrease of 0.30 percentage points [5] Production Capacity and Operations - The company's glove production capacity reached 9.92 million dozen, with a utilization rate of 89.51%, down 5.07 percentage points year-on-year [3] - The Vietnam facility has begun trial production, with plans for further ramp-up expected to enhance overall production capabilities [7] Financial Forecasts - Revenue projections for 2025-2027 have been adjusted downwards to 14.79 billion, 17.53 billion, and 22.60 billion respectively, with net profit estimates revised to 1.24 billion, 1.52 billion, and 1.99 billion [7] - The expected earnings per share (EPS) for 2025-2027 are adjusted to 0.72, 0.88, and 1.15 yuan respectively [7] Market Position and Strategy - The company is focusing on expanding its glove production capacity and has initiated a project for 12,000 tons of ultra-high molecular weight polyethylene fiber, with the first phase expected to contribute to production by Q4 2025 [4][7] - The company is also actively pursuing the construction of a biodegradable polyester rubber project, which is anticipated to provide new growth opportunities in the long term [7]