Minsheng Securities·2025-08-26 13:45Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for key companies in the chemical industry, specifically recommending Shengquan Group, Hailide, Zhuoyue New Energy, and Ruile New Materials [4][5]. Core Insights - The report emphasizes the importance of focusing on companies with strong performance in the first half of the year, particularly those that are less correlated with macroeconomic fluctuations and benefit from ongoing AI capital investments [1][2]. - The phosphate fertilizer export window is expected to remain open, with high demand anticipated to continue, benefiting large phosphate chemical companies like Yuntianhua [2]. - The report highlights the potential for the pesticide industry to improve due to increased safety regulations following recent chemical accidents, which may lead to the elimination of non-compliant production capacities [3]. Summary by Sections Key Companies and Performance - Shengquan Group is identified as a major domestic supplier of electronic resins for AI servers, with expected performance improvements due to rising server shipments [1]. - Hailide is noted for benefiting from U.S. tariff conflicts, being a leading company in the polyester industrial yarn sector [1]. - Zhuoyue New Energy is expected to see performance upgrades with new projects and products coming online [1]. - Ruile New Materials anticipates a 69.93% year-on-year increase in net profit for the first half of 2025, driven by significant growth in its pharmaceutical segment [1]. Market Trends - The chemical industry index rose by 2.86% this week, underperforming the CSI 300 index by 1.32% [11]. - Among 462 stocks in the chemical sector, 53% saw weekly gains, while 45% experienced declines [17]. - Key chemical products such as liquid chlorine, lithium carbonate, synthetic ammonia, and organic silicon saw significant price increases this week [20]. Sub-industry Insights - The polyester filament market is experiencing price increases, with average prices for POY, FDY, and DTY rising by 50-55 CNY per ton [24]. - The tire industry shows an increase in operating rates, with full steel tire rates at 64.97% and semi-steel tire rates at 71.87% [29]. - The refrigerant market remains strong, with R22 and R134a prices holding steady at high levels due to stable demand and limited supply [35][37].