碳酸锂日评：波动仍大，持仓注意保护-20250827

1. Report's Industry Investment Rating - Not provided in the report 2. Report's Core View - The short - term supply and demand of lithium carbonate are both strengthening, with high production, rising downstream demand, and social inventory depletion. The short - term fundamentals change little, but beware of the repeated "reversal" sentiment. It is expected that the lithium carbonate price will fluctuate widely. Operationally, it is recommended to conduct short - term range operations, buy on dips and appropriately purchase options for protection if it drops excessively, or buy straddle options [1] 3. Summary According to Relevant Content 3.1 Lithium Carbonate Futures Market - On August 26, the main contract of lithium carbonate futures fluctuated within a range. The trading volume was 5999 lots (- 67314), and the open interest was 34996 lots (- 1917). The spot market showed a rising trend, and the basis premium decreased [1] - The closing prices of near - month, consecutive - one, consecutive - two, and consecutive - three contracts decreased compared with the previous day, while the trading volume and open interest of the active contract decreased, and the inventory decreased [1] 3.2 Lithium - Related Product Prices - The average price of spodumene concentrate (6%, CIF China) decreased, while the prices of lithium mica (different grades), phospho - lithium - aluminum stone (different grades), and most lithium - related products such as lithium carbonate, lithium hydroxide, and ternary materials changed to varying degrees [1] - The price differences between different grades of lithium carbonate, lithium hydroxide, and other products also changed. For example, the price difference between battery - grade lithium hydroxide and battery - grade lithium carbonate increased by 550 [1] 3.3 Lithium Inventory - The SMM lithium carbonate inventory showed different trends in different sectors. The inventory of smelters decreased by 2847 tons, the inventory of downstream increased by 3224 tons, and the inventory of others decreased by 1090 tons. The total inventory decreased by 713 tons [1] 3.4 Industry News - SDIC Xinjiang Lithium Industry Co., Ltd. plans to invest about 800 million yuan to expand its lithium carbonate production capacity in Xinjiang from 500 tons to 10,000 tons. Jiuwu Hi - tech and Lanxiao Technology won the bids for the core systems in the equipment procurement of this expansion project [1] - Australian miner Galan Lithium obtained 20 million Australian dollars (equivalent to 13 million US dollars) in financing for its Hombre Muerto West (HMW) project in Argentina. The project is expected to be put into production in the first half of 2026 and has 7.86 million tons of lithium carbonate equivalent (LCE) resources [1]