GreatStar(SZ:002444) CMS·2025-08-27 06:02Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Strong Buy" investment rating for the company [3][7]. Core Views - The company's mid-year performance aligns with forecasts, showing significant growth in electric tools, with a revenue increase of 4.87% year-on-year to 7.027 billion yuan in H1 2025 [1]. - The report anticipates better industry conditions in the second half of the year, driven by potential interest rate cuts that could enhance demand elasticity [7]. - The company is focusing on product innovation to sustain high growth in electric tools, which have seen a revenue increase of 56.03% year-on-year, raising their revenue share from 7.1% to 10.56% [7]. - The report projects revenues of 15.56 billion yuan for 2025, with a year-on-year growth of 5%, and net profits of 2.564 billion yuan, reflecting an 11% increase [2][7]. Financial Performance Summary - H1 2025 financials: Total revenue of 7.027 billion yuan, net profit of 1.273 billion yuan, and a non-recurring net profit of 1.254 billion yuan [1]. - Q2 2025 performance: Revenue of 3.371 billion yuan, net profit of 0.812 billion yuan, and a non-recurring net profit of 0.792 billion yuan [1]. - The company’s gross margin for H1 2025 was 31.95%, with a slight year-on-year decrease, while the net margin improved to 18.69% [7]. Revenue and Profit Forecast - Projected total revenue for 2025 is 15.56 billion yuan, with subsequent years expected to grow to 17.201 billion yuan in 2026 and 19.021 billion yuan in 2027 [2][14]. - Forecasted net profit for 2025 is 2.564 billion yuan, increasing to 2.896 billion yuan in 2026 and 3.255 billion yuan in 2027 [2][14]. Valuation Metrics - Current price-to-earnings (PE) ratio is projected at 16x for 2025, decreasing to 14x in 2026 and 13x in 2027 [7]. - The price-to-book (PB) ratio is expected to decline from 2.3 in 2025 to 1.8 by 2027 [2][14].