HGTECH(SZ:000988) Shanxi Securities·2025-08-27 06:01Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy-A" rating for the company [1] Core Views - The company has shown impressive growth in its optical module segment, which is expected to further improve profitability [1] - The company achieved a revenue of 76.29 billion yuan in H1 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 44.66%, with a net profit of 9.11 billion yuan, also up 44.87% year-on-year [4][5] - The company is a leading supplier of optical modules for data center construction in China and a leader in PTC and sensor markets for electric vehicles [8] Financial Performance - In Q2 2025, the company reported a revenue of 42.74 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 39.19% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 27.36% [4] - The company's gross margin and net margin for H1 2025 were 20.24% and 11.88%, respectively, showing a decrease compared to the same period last year [7][8] - The company’s operating expenses have been effectively controlled, with the overall expense ratio decreasing to 9.94% from 13.16% year-on-year [8] Business Segments - The company’s smart manufacturing, connectivity, and sensing businesses achieved revenues of 16.76 billion, 37.44 billion, and 21.54 billion yuan in H1 2025, with year-on-year growth rates of -2.95%, +124%, and +17%, respectively [5] - The connectivity segment has seen significant growth, with the launch of a 3.2T CPO solution and mass production of 800G ZR/ZR+ Pro coherent optical modules [6] - The sensing business has made breakthroughs in pressure sensors, with sales exceeding the total for the previous year, and is focusing on domestic substitution [6] Profit Forecast and Valuation - The company is expected to achieve net profits of 18.7 billion, 24.1 billion, and 29.6 billion yuan for the years 2025 to 2027, with year-on-year growth rates of 52.8%, 29.2%, and 22.8%, respectively [8] - The estimated earnings per share (EPS) for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are projected to be 1.86 yuan, 2.40 yuan, and 2.94 yuan [8]