碳酸锂日报-20250827

1. Report Industry Investment Rating - Not provided in the content 2. Core View of the Report - On August 26, 2025, the 2511 contract of lithium carbonate futures fell 0.75% to 79,020 yuan/ton. The average price of battery - grade lithium carbonate dropped 800 yuan/ton to 81,700 yuan/ton, and the average price of industrial - grade lithium carbonate decreased 800 yuan/ton to 79,400 yuan/ton. The price of battery - grade lithium hydroxide (coarse particles) declined 250 yuan/ton to 77,080 yuan/ton. The warehouse receipt inventory increased 1,060 tons to 26,690 tons [3]. - In the first half of 2025, Zimbabwe's lithium exports surged 30% to 586,197 tons of spodumene concentrate, highlighting its growing influence in the global supply chain [3]. - In terms of fundamentals, the supply - side production slowed down slightly due to mica shutdown. With the previous price increase and more overseas imports, spodumene - based lithium production is expected to continue rising. The high ore price still supports the lithium carbonate price. The total demand in August increased 6% month - on - month, and downstream production scheduling may remain strong in September, a traditional peak season. The social inventory remains at 141,000 tons with a two - week slight destocking trend [3]. - After the rapid price increase last week, lithium carbonate prices face short - term correction pressure and await new driving factors. Short - term focus is on lithium ore transaction prices, and medium - term attention is on the progress of other projects that need to complete report compilation and submission by September 30 [3]. 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs 3.1 Daily Data Monitoring - Futures: The closing price of the main contract decreased 360 yuan/ton to 79,020 yuan/ton, and the closing price of the continuous contract dropped 320 yuan/ton to 79,260 yuan/ton. The price of spodumene concentrate (6%, CIF China) fell 5 dollars/ton to 920 dollars/ton, and the price of lithium mica (Li2O: 1.5% - 2.0%) decreased 20 yuan/ton to 1,245 yuan/ton [5]. - Lithium ores and lithium salts: Most prices declined, such as battery - grade lithium carbonate, industrial - grade lithium carbonate, and various types of lithium hydroxide. The price of hexafluorophosphate lithium dropped 100 yuan/ton to 56,200 yuan/ton [5]. - Price differences: The price difference between battery - grade and industrial - grade lithium carbonate remained unchanged at 2,300 yuan/ton, while the price difference between battery - grade lithium hydroxide and battery - grade lithium carbonate increased 550 yuan/ton to - 4,620 yuan/ton [5]. - Precursor and cathode materials: The prices of most ternary precursors and cathode materials remained stable, with only a few showing minor decreases [5]. - Batteries: The prices of most batteries and cells were stable, with only a few showing small changes [5]. 3.2 Chart Analysis - Ore prices: Charts show the price trends of spodumene concentrate, lithium mica, and phospho - lithium - aluminum stone from 2024 to 2025 [6][8]. - Lithium and lithium salt prices: Charts present the price trends of metal lithium, battery - grade and industrial - grade lithium carbonate, lithium hydroxide, and hexafluorophosphate lithium from 2024 to 2025 [11][13][15]. - Price differences: Charts display the price differences between different lithium products, including battery - grade and industrial - grade lithium carbonate, battery - grade lithium hydroxide and battery - grade lithium carbonate, etc., from 2024 to 2025 [18][20][22]. - Precursor and cathode materials: Charts show the price trends of ternary precursors and cathode materials from 2024 to 2025 [25][27][29]. - Lithium battery prices: Charts present the price trends of 523 square ternary cells, square lithium iron phosphate cells, cobalt - acid lithium cells, and square lithium iron phosphate batteries from 2024 to 2025 [31][34]. - Inventory: Charts show the downstream and smelter inventory trends of lithium carbonate in 2025 [38]. - Production cost: The chart shows the production profit trends of lithium carbonate from different raw materials from 2024 to 2025 [44].