Shenwan Hongyuan Securities·2025-08-27 06:05Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Outperform" rating for the company [2][7][17] Core Insights - The company's packaging water business is showing signs of recovery, leading to a significant improvement in profitability [3][7] - The financial performance for H1 2025 includes a revenue of 25.622 billion, a year-on-year increase of 15.56%, and a net profit of 7.622 billion, up 22.16% year-on-year [7][8] - The report projects net profits for 2025-2027 to be 14.707 billion, 16.879 billion, and 19.027 billion respectively, with growth rates of 21%, 15%, and 13% [3][7] Financial Data and Profit Forecast - Revenue projections for the company are as follows: - 2023: 42.667 billion - 2024: 42.896 billion - 2025E: 50.325 billion - 2026E: 56.864 billion - 2027E: 63.553 billion - The corresponding net profit figures are: - 2023: 12.079 billion - 2024: 12.123 billion - 2025E: 14.707 billion - 2026E: 16.879 billion - 2027E: 19.027 billion - The report indicates a gross margin of 60.32% for H1 2025, an increase of 1.55 percentage points year-on-year [3][8] Business Performance - The breakdown of revenue by product line for H1 2025 is as follows: - Packaging water: 9.443 billion, up 10.69% - Tea drinks: 10.089 billion, up 19.68% - Functional drinks: 2.898 billion, up 13.62% - Juice drinks: 2.564 billion, up 21.28% - Other products: 0.629 billion, up 14.78% [7][8] - The company has expanded its water source locations, adding three new sites to enhance its competitive edge [7]