INTCO RECYCLING(SH:688087) NORTHEAST SECURITIES·2025-08-27 07:45Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, indicating an expectation of stock price appreciation exceeding 15% over the next six months [5]. Core Insights - The company's operating profit continues to grow, with a reported revenue of 1.666 billion yuan for the first half of 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 16.13%. However, the net profit attributable to shareholders decreased by 6.01% to 146 million yuan [1][2]. - The decline in net profit is primarily attributed to foreign exchange losses this year compared to gains in the same period last year. The significant drop in non-recurring net profit is due to changes in the structure of financial products [2]. - The company announced a cash dividend of 0.1 yuan per share, totaling 19 million yuan, which exceeds the total dividend for the entire year of 2024, with a payout ratio of 13.3% [1]. Financial Performance Summary - For Q2 2025, the company achieved a revenue of 873 million yuan, up 8.98% year-on-year, while the net profit attributable to shareholders was 74 million yuan, down 11.28% [1]. - The company reported a historical high in single-quarter revenue, driven by strong growth in decorative building materials and overseas markets, with non-US market revenue increasing by 31.15% year-on-year [3]. - The Vietnam subsidiary, which primarily exports to the US, generated 210 million yuan in revenue for H1 2025, marking a 49% increase year-on-year [3]. Future Outlook - The report highlights the company's advantages in the recycling-granulation-product chain and the potential for growth through new products and overseas capacity expansion. The company aims for a compound annual growth rate of 15% in revenue or net profit over the next five years [4]. - Forecasted net profits for 2025-2027 are 330 million, 374 million, and 448 million yuan, respectively, with corresponding price-to-earnings ratios of 16.98, 15.00, and 12.52 [4].