Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Outperform" (Maintain) [1] Core Views - The company is actively expanding its core business and new business contributions are continuously increasing, leading to stable shareholder returns. The non-GAAP net profit forecasts for 2025-2027 have been slightly lowered due to market uncertainties and strategic adjustments in the home decoration business. The expected net profits are 7.17 billion, 8.27 billion, and 9.02 billion yuan respectively, with year-on-year growth rates of -0.7%, +15.3%, and +9.1% [6][7] Financial Summary and Valuation Metrics - For Q2 2025, the company's revenue reached 26 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 11.3%, which is in line with Bloomberg consensus expectations. The adjusted net profit was 1.82 billion yuan, a decline of 32.4% year-on-year, slightly above the consensus forecast [6] - The company’s revenue from existing homes decreased by 8.4% year-on-year, while the transaction volume for new homes grew by 8.5% year-on-year, indicating a strong channel advantage [6] - The company plans to expand its existing share repurchase program to 5 billion USD, extending it until August 31, 2028, which represents approximately 13.5% of the current market value [7] - The projected operating revenue for 2025 is 102.91 billion yuan, with a year-on-year growth of 10.1%. The non-GAAP net profit for 2025 is expected to be 7.17 billion yuan, with a net profit margin of 7.0% [8]
贝壳-W（02423）：2025Q2业绩基本符合预期，股东回报稳健