Xinda Securities·2025-08-27 07:59Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" [1] Core Views - The report indicates that the company's performance has been impacted by a decline in oil prices, affecting both upstream and refining operations in the short term [4] - Despite the challenges, the company has shown resilience with steady growth in oil and gas production and significant advancements in its renewable energy business [4][5] - The report maintains a positive outlook on the company's ability to recover performance through cost reduction and efficiency improvements [7] Financial Performance Summary - For the first half of 2025, the company reported total revenue of 1,450.099 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 6.74%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 83.993 billion yuan, down 5.42% year-on-year [1] - In Q2 2025, the company achieved revenue of 696.991 billion yuan, a decline of 6.09% year-on-year and 7.45% quarter-on-quarter, with a net profit of 37.186 billion yuan, down 13.59% year-on-year and 20.55% quarter-on-quarter [2] - The average Brent oil price for the first half of 2025 was $71 per barrel, a decrease of 15% year-on-year [4] Segment Performance Summary - The oil and gas segment achieved an operating profit of 85.7 billion yuan, while the refining and new materials segment reported a profit of 11.1 billion yuan, reflecting a decline of 62 million yuan and 26 million yuan respectively [4] - The company’s oil and gas equivalent production reached 923.6 million barrels, a 2.0% increase year-on-year, with crude oil production at 476.4 million barrels, up 0.3% year-on-year [4] - The renewable energy segment has seen a 70% increase in wind and solar power generation, indicating rapid growth in this area [4] Profit Forecast and Valuation - The forecasted net profit attributable to shareholders for 2025-2027 is 1650.87 billion yuan, 1689.72 billion yuan, and 1726.00 billion yuan respectively, with corresponding EPS of 0.90, 0.92, and 0.94 yuan per share [7] - The report suggests that the company’s P/E ratios for 2025-2027 will be 9.72, 9.50, and 9.30 times respectively, indicating a favorable valuation compared to its peers [7]