Xiangyu(SH:600057) Xinda Securities·2025-08-27 08:59Investment Rating - The investment rating for Xiamen Xiangyu (600057) is "Accumulate" [1] Core Views - The report highlights that Xiamen Xiangyu is a leading player in the bulk supply chain industry, with a steady recovery in its extended industrial chain and enhanced comprehensive service capabilities, leading to expected stable performance recovery [5] - The company reported a revenue of 203.95 billion yuan for the first half of 2025, a year-on-year increase of 0.2%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 1.032 billion yuan, up 32.5% year-on-year [2][3] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In H1 2025, the company achieved a revenue of 2039.5 billion yuan, with a breakdown of 193.4 billion yuan from bulk supply chain operations, 4.996 billion yuan from logistics, and 5.284 billion yuan from manufacturing, reflecting year-on-year changes of +0.14%, +17.39%, and -6.71% respectively [2] - The net profit for H1 2025 was 1.032 billion yuan, with Q1 and Q2 profits of 509 million yuan and 523 million yuan, showing year-on-year increases of +24.88% and +40.83% respectively [2] - The company’s expense ratio decreased to 1.18%, down 0.22 percentage points year-on-year, with reductions in financial, management, and sales expense ratios [2] Business Segments - The bulk commodity supply chain business saw a volume increase of 19.02% year-on-year, reaching 12.1 million tons, with significant growth in agricultural products and energy chemicals [2] - The logistics segment reported revenue growth, with comprehensive logistics, railway logistics, and agricultural product logistics achieving year-on-year increases of 16.39%, 20.75%, and 6.74% respectively [2] Future Outlook - The company is expected to achieve net profits of 1.816 billion yuan, 2.117 billion yuan, and 2.375 billion yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, with corresponding year-on-year growth rates of +28.0%, +16.6%, and +12.2% [5] - The report anticipates a recovery in profitability as the company resumes shipbuilding capacity, with 15 new ship orders signed in H1 2025 [3]