NOVEL(SZ:002014) EBSCN·2025-08-27 09:06Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for Yongxin Co., Ltd. (002014.SZ) with a current price of 11.60 CNY [1] Core Views - The company achieved steady revenue growth in the first half of 2025, with a revenue of 1.75 billion CNY, up 5.8% year-on-year, and a net profit of 180 million CNY, up 1.7% year-on-year [5][6] - The domestic market showed stable growth, while international business revenue grew significantly, with a 39.7% increase year-on-year [6] - The company plans to establish a wholly-owned subsidiary in Shanghai with an investment of 5 million CNY to enhance R&D capabilities and support international business expansion [6] - Increased market competition has led to a decline in gross margin, which was 21.2% in the first half of 2025, down 1.2 percentage points year-on-year [6][7] - The company continues to maintain a high dividend policy, proposing a cash dividend of 2.8 CNY per 10 shares, resulting in a total cash dividend of 170 million CNY, with a dynamic dividend yield of 5.3% [8][9] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In 1H2025, revenue from various product lines was as follows: color printing packaging (1.22 billion CNY, +2.6%), aluminum-plated packaging (40 million CNY, +22.3%), plastic flexible packaging (370 million CNY, +20.3%), and ink (70 million CNY, +3.8%) [6] - The company’s gross margin by product line was: color printing packaging (21.9%), aluminum-plated packaging (2.6%), plastic flexible packaging (14.7%), and ink (22.2%) [7] - The company’s operating expense ratio was 9.5%, down 1.0 percentage points year-on-year, with a notable decrease in management expenses due to reduced employee compensation [8] Profit Forecast and Valuation - The report slightly lowers the profit forecast for 2025-2027, estimating net profits of 500 million CNY, 550 million CNY, and 600 million CNY respectively, with corresponding EPS of 0.81, 0.89, and 0.99 CNY [9][10] - The current price-to-earnings (P/E) ratios for 2025-2027 are projected to be 14, 13, and 12 times respectively [9] Market Position - Yongxin Co., Ltd. is recognized as a leading enterprise in the soft plastic packaging industry, with stable domestic operations and accelerated international expansion [9]