Guoxin Securities·2025-08-27 09:36Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Outperform the Market" [5][34]. Core Views - The company has shown year-on-year improvement in performance, with a proposal for its first interim dividend. In H1 2025, the company achieved revenue of 41.29 billion, a year-on-year decrease of 9.4%, while the main business revenue increased by 2.31% to 34.84 billion. The net profit attributable to shareholders was 4.37 billion, up 31.3% year-on-year, and the earnings per share (EPS) was 0.83 yuan [1][8]. - Despite insufficient market demand, the company benefited from rising cement prices, decreasing coal costs, and ongoing cost control measures, leading to improved year-on-year performance [1][8]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In H1 2025, the company reported a revenue of 41.29 billion, with a main business revenue of 34.84 billion, and a net profit of 4.37 billion, reflecting a 31.3% increase year-on-year. The EPS was 0.83 yuan, and the company proposed a mid-term dividend of 2.4 yuan per 10 shares [1][8]. - In Q2 2025, the company achieved a revenue of 22.24 billion, a decrease of 8.2% year-on-year, but the net profit rose by 40.3% to 2.56 billion [1][8]. Market Position and Sales - The company's self-produced cement clinker sales reached 126 million tons, a slight decrease of 0.35% year-on-year, outperforming the industry average decline of 4.3%. The average price per ton was 244.2 yuan, with a cost of 174.2 yuan, resulting in a gross profit of 70.0 yuan per ton [2][14]. - The company has maintained its domestic market share while expanding its overseas operations, achieving overseas revenue of 2.46 billion, a year-on-year increase of 7.1% [2][14]. Cash Flow and Investments - The company reported a net cash flow from operating activities of 8.29 billion, an increase of 20.6% year-on-year, with total cash and financial assets amounting to 63.84 billion [3][29]. - The company is actively pursuing project acquisitions and construction, including the acquisition of Xinjiang Yaobai and ongoing overseas expansion projects [3][29]. Future Outlook - The company is expected to benefit from ongoing strategic projects that may enhance infrastructure investment and improve supply-demand dynamics. The projected EPS for 2025-2027 is 1.85, 1.08, and 2.25 yuan per share, with corresponding price-to-earnings ratios of 8.4, 7.6, and 7.1 [34].