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紫金矿业(601899):半年报点评:矿量价齐增推升业绩,黄金分拆上市有望带来估值重估
Guoxin Securities·2025-08-27 09:36

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Outperform the Market" [5][35]. Core Views - The company's revenue for the first half of the year reached 167.71 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 11.50%, while the net profit attributable to shareholders was 23.29 billion yuan, up 54.41% year-on-year. The significant growth in gold production and prices contributed to this performance [1][9]. - The company plans to spin off its overseas gold mining assets into a separate entity, which is expected to enhance its valuation and facilitate rapid expansion in overseas gold operations [2][30]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In Q2 2025, the company achieved revenue of 88.78 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 17.38% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 12.49%. The net profit attributable to shareholders was 13.13 billion yuan, up 48.75% year-on-year and 29.10% quarter-on-quarter [1][9]. - The company’s core mineral product output for the first half of the year included 41.19 tons of gold (up 16.3% year-on-year) and 566,900 tons of copper (up 9.3% year-on-year) [1][13]. Cost Management - The unit operating cost for gold was 261.97 yuan per gram, an increase of 15.41% year-on-year. The company is focused on strict cost control and enhancing management efficiency [2][16]. Dividend Policy - The company plans to distribute a mid-term cash dividend of 2.2 yuan per 10 shares (tax included), totaling approximately 5.847 billion yuan, which accounts for 25.10% of the net profit attributable to shareholders for the first half of the year [2][25]. Strategic Initiatives - The spin-off of the overseas gold segment is a significant strategic move, expected to create a dedicated platform for overseas gold operations and lead to a revaluation of the company's overall business structure [2][30]. - The company is actively pursuing international expansion and diversification into new energy materials, aiming to position itself among the top global mining enterprises [3][35]. Financial Forecast - The company’s revenue projections for 2025-2027 are 365.1 billion yuan, 381.7 billion yuan, and 400.5 billion yuan, with corresponding net profits of 46.06 billion yuan, 52.66 billion yuan, and 58.48 billion yuan [3][36].