Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [6][2][1] Core Insights - The company reported a revenue of 8.52 billion RMB for the first half of 2025, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 7%, with a net profit of 2.03 billion RMB, also up 7% year-on-year. The core net profit increased by 15% year-on-year, aligning with the company's guidance for double-digit growth for the full year [1][2] - The interim dividend payout ratio based on core net profit reached 100%, exceeding the company's guidance of a 60% base payout ratio for the year, indicating enhanced shareholder returns [1][2] - The shopping center segment continues to show strong operational and performance metrics, with retail sales increasing by 21% year-on-year to 122 billion RMB, and rental income from owners rising by 17% year-on-year [3][2] Summary by Sections Revenue and Profitability - The company achieved a steady revenue growth with property and commercial channels showing year-on-year increases of 1% and 15% respectively. The overall gross margin improved by 3.1 percentage points to 37.1% [2][3] - The gross margin for the property channel slightly decreased by 0.1 percentage points to 18.8%, while the commercial channel's gross margin increased by 5.2 percentage points to 66.1% due to cost reductions from digital strategies [2][3] Shopping Center Performance - The company opened 4 new shopping centers and signed contracts for 6 third-party shopping centers, bringing the total to 125 operational centers, with 53 ranking first in local retail sales [3][2] - The company anticipates a revenue growth of 19% for shopping centers in 2025, with an expected gross margin increase of 4.4 percentage points to 77.0% [3][2] Property Management Segment - The basic property management segment saw revenue growth of 9% and 15% for residential and urban space respectively, focusing on high-quality projects and exiting loss-making ones [4][2] - Community value-added services revenue decreased by 33% year-on-year, but the gross margin improved by 9.5 percentage points to 40.4% due to a shift towards a platform-based, light-asset model [4][2] Earnings Forecast and Valuation - The report adjusts revenue forecasts for non-owner value-added services downwards while increasing the gross margin forecast for shopping centers. The core EPS estimates for 2025-2027 are maintained at 1.77, 2.01, and 2.28 RMB respectively [5][2] - The target price is set at 46.60 HKD, reflecting an increase from the previous target of 39.81 HKD, based on a 25 PE ratio [5][2]
华润万象生活（01209）：业绩符合指引，中期派息超指引