Workflow
新产业(300832):国内阶段性承压,流水线有望驱动试剂上量

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [5] Core Views - The company is expected to face domestic pressure in the short term, but the production line is anticipated to drive reagent volume growth [5] - Revenue forecasts for 2025-2027 are projected at 48.58 billion, 54.96 billion, and 63.48 billion RMB, with year-on-year growth rates of 7.12%, 13.12%, and 15.51% respectively [6] - The net profit attributable to the parent company for the same period is expected to be 18.32 billion, 20.65 billion, and 23.85 billion RMB, with growth rates of 0.17%, 12.77%, and 15.48% respectively [6] - The current stock price corresponds to a price-to-earnings ratio (PE) of 25x, 22x, and 19x for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027 [6] Financial Performance Summary - In the first half of 2025, the company achieved revenue of 21.85 billion RMB (down 1.18% year-on-year) and a net profit of 7.71 billion RMB (down 14.62% year-on-year) [8] - The company's reagent revenue was 15.21 billion RMB (down 4.40% year-on-year), while instrument revenue was 6.60 billion RMB (up 7.37% year-on-year) [8] - Domestic revenue was 12.29 billion RMB (down 12.81% year-on-year), with domestic instrument business revenue increasing by 18.18% [8] - Overseas revenue reached 9.52 billion RMB (up 19.57% year-on-year), with reagent business revenue growing by 36.86% [8] - The overall gross margin for the first half of 2025 was 68.64% (down 4.14 percentage points year-on-year) [8] - The company’s R&D expense ratio was 10.86% (up 1.62 percentage points year-on-year) [8] Revenue and Profit Forecasts - Revenue forecasts for 2025-2027 are 48.58 billion, 54.96 billion, and 63.48 billion RMB, with corresponding year-on-year growth rates of 7.12%, 13.12%, and 15.51% [6] - The net profit attributable to the parent company is projected to be 18.32 billion, 20.65 billion, and 23.85 billion RMB for 2025, 2026, and 2027, with growth rates of 0.17%, 12.77%, and 15.48% respectively [6] - The earnings per share (EPS) for 2025 is expected to be 2.33 RMB, with a projected increase to 3.04 RMB by 2027 [9]