Workflow
中钢国际(000928):盈利能力提升,一带一路助增长

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" rating for the company [4]. Core Views - The company has shown improved profitability despite a decline in revenue, with a focus on international expansion under the "Belt and Road" initiative [4]. - The company achieved a net profit of 4.24 billion yuan in the first half of 2025, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 1.11% [4]. - The report forecasts a gradual increase in net profit for 2025 to 2027, with expected figures of 8.75 billion yuan, 9.20 billion yuan, and 9.83 billion yuan respectively, indicating growth rates of 4.75%, 5.18%, and 6.79% [4][6]. Financial Performance Summary - Revenue Forecasts: - 2024A: 176.47 billion yuan - 2025E: 180.10 billion yuan - 2026E: 188.90 billion yuan - 2027E: 201.20 billion yuan - Revenue growth rates are projected at -33.10%, 2.06%, 4.89%, and 6.51% respectively [6]. - Net Profit Forecasts: - 2024A: 8.35 billion yuan - 2025E: 8.75 billion yuan - 2026E: 9.20 billion yuan - 2027E: 9.83 billion yuan - Corresponding profit growth rates are 9.69%, 4.75%, 5.18%, and 6.79% [6]. - Gross Margin: - The gross margin for 2025 is projected at 12.24%, down from 14.50% in 2024 [6]. - Earnings Per Share (EPS): - EPS is expected to increase from 0.58 yuan in 2024 to 0.68 yuan in 2027 [6]. - Price-to-Earnings Ratio (P/E): - The P/E ratio is forecasted to decrease from 11.25 in 2024 to 9.56 in 2027, indicating a potentially more attractive valuation over time [6]. Operational Highlights - The company reported a significant increase in overseas revenue, which grew by 6.36% year-on-year, while domestic revenue saw a decline of 59.88% [4]. - The company ranked 77th among the "Top 250 International Contractors" globally in 2024, marking its best performance to date [4].