aisidi(SZ:002416) Shenwan Hongyuan Securities·2025-08-27 14:20Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [1] Core Views - The company reported a significant decline in revenue due to business restructuring, with H1 2025 revenue at 25.37 billion yuan, down 34.69% year-on-year, and net profit at 2.22 billion yuan, down 43.98% year-on-year [6] - The company is focusing on integrating new distribution and retail capabilities, achieving strong growth in its retail business, with over 80% year-on-year growth in overall sales and over 100% growth in instant retail business [6] - The company is optimizing resource allocation and enhancing asset management capabilities, resulting in improved cash flow and a significant reduction in prepaid accounts and inventory [6] - The overseas market, particularly in Hong Kong, Macau, and Southeast Asia, is showing new growth potential, with overseas sales revenue increasing by 29.96% year-on-year [6] - The company is making strides in AI and industrial investment, establishing partnerships to enhance its capabilities in smart terminals and AI [6] - The company is adjusting its profit forecasts for 2025-2027, with net profit estimates revised to 6.62 billion yuan, 7.78 billion yuan, and 9.11 billion yuan respectively, maintaining a PE ratio of 23, 20, and 17 for the same years [6] Financial Data and Profit Forecast - Total revenue for 2025 is estimated at 69.96 billion yuan, with a year-on-year growth rate of 6.3% [5] - The net profit for 2025 is projected to be 6.62 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 13.9% [5] - The company’s gross margin is expected to be 3.9% in 2025, with a return on equity (ROE) of 10% [5]