Xiangcai Securities·2025-08-27 15:38Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is maintained as "Buy" [2] Core Views - The DDR4 market prices continue to rise, with LPDDR4X prices significantly increasing due to supply-side reductions and competitive bidding among suppliers. The demand for mid-to-low-end mobile phones and tablets remains stable, driving prices upward. Trendforce forecasts a price increase of 38%-43% for LPDDR4X in the third quarter [4][11] - The SSD market shows a slight price decline, with embedded channel market prices stabilizing recently. Major NAND manufacturers are shifting capacity from low-margin products to high-margin QLC products, leading to price increases for products below 512Gb. However, overall demand remains low, and inventory reduction is the primary focus for industry clients [5][17] - The demand for niche DRAM is expected to remain strong as SK Hynix and Micron gradually exit this market. The recovery in demand from PC, IoT, and industrial control sectors, along with domestic substitution trends, is anticipated to drive prices upward for various storage manufacturers [6][22] Summary by Sections 1. Supply-Side Reduction and Price Increase - DDR4 prices are stabilizing in the short term but are expected to rise due to ongoing supply shortages. The DXI index has increased by 97.38% year-to-date, reflecting the upward trend in prices [8][4] - LPDDR4X prices are projected to rise significantly due to supply constraints, with a monthly price increase of 6.7% for 96GB products and 10.2% for 48GB products [12][11] 2. SSD Market Dynamics - The SSD market is experiencing a slight decline in prices, with a monthly decrease of 2.4% for 256Gb PCIe3.0 products and 3.1% for 512Gb PCIe3.0 products. The overall supply remains sufficient, but demand is weak, leading to a cautious inventory approach by clients [17][18] 3. Investment Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on companies such as Zhaoyi Innovation, Lanke Technology, Juchen Co., and Shenkong Co. as potential beneficiaries of the upward price trends in the storage market [6][22]