EBSCN·2025-08-28 02:22Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for both A-shares and H-shares of the company, with current prices at 8.63 CNY and 7.39 HKD respectively [1]. Core Views - The company demonstrates resilience in its performance despite fluctuations in oil prices, attributed to its integrated industry chain advantages [7][17]. - The company plans to enhance its natural gas business and overall operational efficiency through strategic acquisitions and capital investments [16][18]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In the first half of 2025, the company reported total revenue of 1,450.1 billion CNY, a year-on-year decrease of 6.7%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 84 billion CNY, down 5.4% [5]. - The company achieved an operating cash flow of 227.1 billion CNY, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 4.0% [7]. Business Segments - The upstream segment generated an operating profit of 85.7 billion CNY, down 6.5% year-on-year, primarily due to falling oil prices [8]. - The natural gas sales segment saw an operating profit of 18.6 billion CNY, up 10.8% year-on-year, benefiting from increased sales volume [10]. - The refining and chemical segment reported an operating profit of 11.1 billion CNY, down 18.9% year-on-year, impacted by reduced margins and inventory losses [11]. Strategic Initiatives - The company is set to acquire three gas storage companies to enhance its natural gas supply chain, which is expected to add 10.97 billion cubic meters of working gas capacity [16]. - The company plans to maintain high capital expenditures, with a budget of 210 billion CNY for upstream investments in 2025, aiming for a 1.6% increase in oil and gas equivalent production [17]. Dividend Policy - The company plans to distribute a cash dividend of 0.22 CNY per share, maintaining a dividend payout ratio of 47.9%, reflecting its commitment to shareholder returns [14]. Profit Forecast and Valuation - The report forecasts net profits of 166.1 billion CNY, 171.2 billion CNY, and 175.7 billion CNY for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, with corresponding EPS of 0.91 CNY, 0.94 CNY, and 0.96 CNY [18][20].