Group 1 - The core narrative of the report emphasizes that in the late stage of the Kondratiev wave, catching up countries must rely on technology and overseas expansion to achieve surpassing the leading countries [2][24]. - The report highlights that the long-term driving force for overseas pricing comes from emerging economies, particularly in the Global South, which are entering an industrialization process [25]. - The report identifies that the key contradiction in overseas pricing is that overseas expansion leads to an increase in ROE, indicating a revaluation at the valuation end [23][24]. Group 2 - The report outlines that the pricing strategy for overseas expansion is based on the global competitiveness of industries, which will become a decisive factor for A-share market growth in the future [23][26]. - The report discusses the importance of selecting industries for overseas expansion, emphasizing the need for high global competitiveness and the ability to successfully enter international markets [26]. - The report provides a framework for evaluating the sustainability of overseas BETA pricing, focusing on domestic and international inflation differentials and global PMI index trends [28]. Group 3 - The report indicates that the performance of active equity funds is significantly influenced by their exposure to overseas markets, with the top 25% of funds having a 5.47 percentage point higher allocation to overseas investments compared to all active funds [12][14]. - The report notes that 36% of companies that issued positive earnings forecasts attributed their growth to overseas demand, highlighting sectors such as PCB, optical modules, and gaming [17][22]. - The report emphasizes that the overseas business gross profit margins are significantly higher than domestic margins, suggesting that increasing overseas exposure can enhance overall ROE [23][19].
再论出海定价“十大关键”:还是靠出海赚钱
Guotou Securities·2025-08-28 02:34