Sunrise Company(SZ:002752) Huafu Securities·2025-08-28 05:44Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, indicating an expected relative price increase of over 20% compared to the market benchmark within the next six months [18]. Core Views - The company reported a slight increase in revenue for the first half of 2025, achieving 3.76% growth in Q2, but faced a significant decline in net profit, down 51.37% year-on-year in the same quarter [3][6]. - The overseas business has become a core growth engine, with international revenue increasing by 12.32% year-on-year, while domestic revenue saw a slight decline [5]. - The company is actively expanding its global footprint, with production trials in Indonesia and the initiation of production line construction in Vietnam, which are expected to contribute to future growth [5]. Financial Performance Summary - For the first half of 2025, the company achieved a total revenue of 3.225 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 0.12%, while the net profit attributable to shareholders was 147 million yuan, a decrease of 36.93% [3]. - The gross margin for the first half of 2025 was 10.34%, down 4.38 percentage points year-on-year, indicating pressure on profitability due to weak supply-demand dynamics and intensified competition in the industry [6]. - The company has committed to a dividend policy, ensuring that cash dividends will be no less than 20% of the distributable profits when conditions are met [6]. Revenue and Profit Forecast - The revenue projections for 2025 to 2027 are set at 7.168 billion yuan, 7.715 billion yuan, and 8.385 billion yuan, respectively, reflecting a growth rate of 1%, 8%, and 9% [6][8]. - The net profit forecasts for the same period are 398 million yuan, 473 million yuan, and 579 million yuan, with a projected decline of 6% in 2025, followed by growth of 19% and 22% in the subsequent years [6][8].