ZPEC(SH:603619) Minsheng Securities·2025-08-28 06:31Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" rating for the company [5][7]. Core Views - The company achieved a revenue of 1.981 billion yuan in the first half of 2025, representing a year-on-year growth of 3.29%. However, the net profit attributable to shareholders decreased by 29.81% to 300 million yuan [1][3]. - The gross profit margin showed resilience, but the operating expenses surged significantly due to the initiation of the Iraq oilfield project and increased foreign exchange losses [2][4]. - The company has successfully entered the African exploration market with a new project in Algeria, holding a 90% stake in a 38,700 square kilometer area with estimated natural gas reserves of 109.257 billion cubic meters [4]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In Q2 2025, the company reported a revenue of 1.038 billion yuan, a year-on-year decline of 6.56% but a quarter-on-quarter increase of 10.02%. The net profit attributable to shareholders was 70 million yuan, down 72.44% year-on-year and 69.33% quarter-on-quarter [2]. - The gross profit for Q2 2025 was 438 million yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 17.17% but a slight quarter-on-quarter increase of 0.98%. Operating expenses reached 287 million yuan, a significant year-on-year increase of 71.38% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 257.56% [2]. Business Segments - The oil sales segment generated 1.084 billion yuan in revenue, down 2.72% year-on-year, while the oil service segment saw a revenue increase of 15.75% to 761 million yuan [3]. - The gross profit from oil sales decreased by 11.96% to 734 million yuan, while the oil service segment's gross profit surged by 203.29% to 119 million yuan [3]. Production and Exploration - The company produced 438,900 tons of crude oil in the first half of 2025, an increase of 8.37% year-on-year. The production from the Wensu and Gengke blocks was 318,000 tons and 120,900 tons, respectively [4]. - The company has optimized its extraction plans in the Gengke block, showing significant production increases in Q1 and Q2 2025 [4]. Investment Outlook - The company is expected to have strong cost advantages and high growth potential in production. The projected net profits for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are 685 million yuan, 922 million yuan, and 1.041 billion yuan, respectively, with corresponding EPS of 1.48 yuan, 1.99 yuan, and 2.25 yuan [5][6].