Dongxing Securities·2025-08-28 08:20Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Strong Buy" investment rating for Conch Cement [2][6]. Core Views - Conch Cement's revenue for the first half of 2025 was CNY 41.292 billion, a year-on-year decrease of 9.38%, while net profit attributable to shareholders increased by 31.34% to CNY 4.368 billion [3]. - The decline in revenue was attributed to a reduction in material trading and a slight decrease in sales volume, with self-produced cement clinker sales at 126 million tons, down 0.35% year-on-year [4]. - The company's gross profit margin improved to 25.2%, up 6.27 percentage points year-on-year, driven by lower fuel and power costs [4]. - The annualized return on equity for the first half of 2025 was 4.63%, an increase of 1.02 percentage points year-on-year, indicating improved profitability despite still being at a relatively low level historically [5]. - The report forecasts net profits for 2025-2027 to be CNY 9.369 billion, CNY 10.404 billion, and CNY 11.667 billion, respectively, with corresponding EPS of CNY 1.77, CNY 1.96, and CNY 2.20 [6]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In the first half of 2025, Conch Cement achieved a net profit of CNY 4.368 billion, a 31.34% increase year-on-year, with a basic EPS of CNY 0.83 [3]. - The company's gross profit margin for the first half of 2025 was 25.2%, reflecting a significant improvement due to cost reductions [4]. Market Position and Strategy - Conch Cement is focusing on enhancing operational quality and seizing market consolidation opportunities amid a challenging industry environment [5]. - The company aims to increase market share through strategic acquisitions and overseas expansion, leveraging its scale and technological advancements [5]. Profit Forecast - The projected net profits for Conch Cement from 2025 to 2027 are CNY 9.369 billion, CNY 10.404 billion, and CNY 11.667 billion, with corresponding PE ratios decreasing from 13.99 to 11.23 [6].