Dongxing Securities·2025-08-28 08:18Investment Rating - The report suggests a positive investment outlook for the semiconductor foundry industry, particularly driven by AI and automotive electronics demand [5]. Core Insights - The semiconductor foundry industry is experiencing a significant growth phase, with global semiconductor sales expected to exceed $1 trillion by 2030, growing at a CAGR of 9% from 2025 to 2030 [4][39]. - TSMC dominates the foundry market with a 60% market share, while SMIC, Hua Hong Semiconductor, and others are emerging as key players in the Chinese market [47][52][58]. Summary by Sections Industry Overview - Wafer foundry refers to the manufacturing of semiconductor wafers for other IC design companies without engaging in design itself. It is a crucial segment of the semiconductor industry [3][10]. - The industry is characterized by high capital and technology intensity, with significant investments required for advanced process nodes [22][23]. Market Dynamics - The global semiconductor wafer capacity is projected to grow from 31.5 million wafers per month in 2024 to 33.7 million in 2025, with a growth rate of 6% and 7% respectively [4][37]. - The demand for chips is driven by sectors such as AI, HPC, and automotive electronics, leading to increased R&D investments in advanced process technologies [29][39]. Key Players in China - SMIC is a leading foundry in China, achieving significant revenue growth and technological advancements, including the production of 14nm FinFET technology [52][54]. - Hua Hong Semiconductor is recognized for its comprehensive specialty process platform, focusing on various technology segments [58]. - Jinghe Integrated Circuit has achieved global leadership in the LCD driver chip foundry market [65]. Competitive Landscape - The foundry market is characterized by a "one strong, many strong" competitive structure, with TSMC as the clear leader, followed by Samsung and SMIC [47]. - The report highlights the increasing market share of SMIC, which has risen to third place in the global foundry rankings [47][49]. Future Trends - The report anticipates continued growth in advanced processes (28nm and below) and specialty processes, driven by the rising demand for high-performance computing and AI applications [5][39]. - The foundry industry is evolving towards a "Foundry 2.0" model, which includes not only wafer manufacturing but also packaging, testing, and other integrated services [24].