BAOWU MAGNESIUM(SZ:002182) HTSC·2025-08-28 08:33Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [4][6]. Core Views - The company reported a revenue of 4.352 billion RMB for H1 2025, a year-on-year increase of 6.78%, but a net profit of 64.12 million RMB, down 46.47% year-on-year, primarily due to declining magnesium prices affecting the profitability of magnesium alloys [1][2]. - The current magnesium prices are seen as favorable for promoting magnesium applications, and the company is expected to rebound as it collaborates closely with industry giants [1][4]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In H1 2025, the company achieved a revenue of 4.352 billion RMB, with a year-on-year growth of 6.78%. The net profit was 64.12 million RMB, reflecting a year-on-year decline of 46.47% due to lower magnesium prices impacting the gross margin of magnesium alloys [1][2]. - Q2 2025 revenue was 2.319 billion RMB, up 4.85% year-on-year and 14.08% quarter-on-quarter, with a net profit of 35.94 million RMB, down 39.15% year-on-year but up 27.52% quarter-on-quarter [1]. Market Outlook - The magnesium price fluctuated between 15,000 and 17,000 RMB per ton in the first half of 2025, with the magnesium-aluminum ratio dropping to a historical low of 0.8-0.9, enhancing the cost-effectiveness of magnesium materials and supporting the expansion of downstream applications [2][3]. Strategic Initiatives - The company is actively expanding its applications in the magnesium sector, particularly in electric bicycles, driven by new national standards. It has established partnerships with major clients such as ZF, Geely, and others, focusing on large magnesium castings for various applications [3][4]. - The company has formed specialized teams to explore markets related to "low-altitude economy," "humanoid robots," and "electric bicycles," conducting market research and developing new products [3]. Valuation - The report projects earnings per share (EPS) of 0.42, 0.67, and 0.94 RMB for 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively. The target price is set at 17.31 RMB, based on a price-to-earnings (PE) ratio of 41.2x for 2025 [4][10].