Ruida Futures(SZ:002961) Rui Da Qi Huo·2025-08-28 08:42Report Industry Investment Rating - No relevant information provided Core Viewpoints - On August 28, the JM2601 contract closed at 1175.0, up 0.90%. The spot price of Tangshan Mongolian No. 5 coking coal was reported at 1350, equivalent to 1130 on the futures market. The market should be treated as a range-bound operation, and investors are advised to control risks [2]. - On August 28, the J2601 contract closed at 1672.5, down 0.51%. The spot price of coke was proposed for the eighth round of price increases by major coke enterprises. The market should be treated as a range-bound operation, and investors are advised to control risks [2]. Summary by Relevant Catalogs Futures Market - JM主力合约收盘价 was 1175.00 yuan/ton, up 21.00 yuan; J主力合约收盘价 was 1672.50 yuan/ton, up 3.00 yuan [2]. - JM期货合约持仓量 was 927,249.00 lots, up 14,534.00 lots; J期货合约持仓量 was 47,918.00 lots, up 550.00 lots [2]. - 焦煤前20名合约净持仓 was -125,180.00 lots, up 3,769.00 lots; 焦炭前20名合约净持仓 was -4,921.00 lots, up 296.00 lots [2]. - JM1 - 9月合约价差 was 155.00 yuan/ton, up 12.50 yuan; J1 - 9月合约价差 was 89.00 yuan/ton, up 20.00 yuan [2]. - 焦煤仓单 was 0.00 sheets; 焦炭仓单 was 820.00 sheets [2]. Spot Market - The price of Ganqimao Du Meng 5 raw coal was 978.00 yuan/ton, down 7.00 yuan; the price of Tangshan Grade 1 metallurgical coke was 1775.00 yuan/ton, unchanged [2]. - The price of Russian prime coking coal forward spot (CFR) was 150.00 US dollars/wet ton, unchanged; the price of Rizhao Port quasi - Grade 1 metallurgical coke was 1570.00 yuan/ton, unchanged [2]. - The price of imported prime coking coal from Australia at Jingtang Port was 1570.00 yuan/ton, unchanged; the price of Grade 1 metallurgical coke at Tianjin Port was 1670.00 yuan/ton, unchanged [2]. - The price of prime coking coal produced in Shanxi at Jingtang Port was 1610.00 yuan/ton, unchanged; the price of quasi - Grade 1 metallurgical coke at Tianjin Port was 1570.00 yuan/ton, unchanged [2]. - The price of medium - sulfur prime coking coal in Lingshi, Jinzhong, Shanxi was 1300.00 yuan/ton, unchanged; J主力合约基差 was 102.50 yuan/ton, down 3.00 yuan [2]. - The ex - factory price of coking coal produced in Wuhai, Inner Mongolia was 1100.00 yuan/ton, unchanged; JM主力合约基差 was 125.00 yuan/ton, down 21.00 yuan [2]. Upstream Situation - The daily output of clean coal from 314 independent coal washing plants was 26.00 million tons, up 0.30 million tons; the weekly inventory of clean coal from 314 independent coal washing plants was 289.50 million tons, down 5.30 million tons [2]. - The weekly capacity utilization rate of 314 independent coal washing plants was 0.37%, unchanged; the monthly output of raw coal was 38,098.70 million tons, down 4,008.70 million tons [2]. - The monthly import volume of coal and lignite was 3,561.00 million tons, up 257.00 million tons; the daily average output of raw coal from 523 coking coal mines was 188.60 million tons, down 2.60 million tons [2]. - The weekly inventory of imported coking coal at 16 ports was 450.45 million tons, up 2.67 million tons; the weekly inventory of coke at 18 ports was 268.62 million tons, down 1.09 million tons [2]. - The weekly total inventory of coking coal of independent coke enterprises was 966.41 million tons, down 10.47 million tons; the weekly inventory of coke of independent coke enterprises was 64.37 million tons, up 1.86 million tons [2]. - The weekly inventory of coking coal of 247 steel mills nationwide was 812.31 million tons, up 6.51 million tons; the weekly inventory of coke of 247 sample steel mills was 609.59 million tons, down 0.21 million tons [2]. - The weekly available days of coking coal of independent coke enterprises was 13.07 days, up 0.10 days; the weekly available days of coke of 247 sample steel mills was 10.76 days, down 0.07 days [2]. Industry Situation - The monthly import volume of coking coal was 962.30 million tons, up 53.11 million tons; the monthly export volume of coke and semi - coke was 89.00 million tons, up 38.00 million tons [2]. - The monthly output of coking coal was 4,064.38 million tons, down 5.89 million tons; the weekly capacity utilization rate of independent coke enterprises was 74.42%, up 0.08% [2]. - The weekly profit per ton of coke of independent coking plants was 23.00 yuan/ton, up 3.00 yuan; the monthly output of coke was 4,185.50 million tons, up 15.20 million tons [2]. Downstream Situation - The weekly blast furnace operating rate of 247 steel mills nationwide was 83.34%, down 0.23%; the weekly blast furnace iron - making capacity utilization rate of 247 steel mills was 90.27%, up 0.03% [2]. - The monthly output of crude steel was 7,965.82 million tons, down 352.58 million tons [2]. Industry News - Personal bankruptcy local regulations have been implemented in Xiamen. Natural persons who meet certain conditions can undergo reorganization, reconciliation, or bankruptcy liquidation [2]. - Chinese chip manufacturers are seeking to triple their AI chip production in 2026 to reduce dependence on Nvidia [2]. - PetroChina is studying the possibility of using stablecoins in cross - border settlement and payment [2]. - The Chinese Ministry of Commerce's international trade negotiation representative visited Canada from the 24th to the 27th and will then go to Washington, the United States, to meet with relevant US officials [2]. Viewpoint Summary - For coking coal, on August 28, the 2601 contract closed at 1175.0, up 0.90%. The spot price of Tangshan Mongolian No. 5 coking coal was reported at 1350, equivalent to 1130 on the futures market. The macro - level shows that the peak summer power consumption period is over, and power supply is stable. The fundamental situation is that the mine - end inventory has increased, and the cumulative import growth rate has declined for three consecutive months. Technically, the daily K - line is between the 20 and 60 - day moving averages, and the market is in a range - bound operation [2]. - For coke, on August 28, the 2601 contract closed at 1672.5, down 0.51%. The spot price of coke was proposed for the eighth round of price increases by major coke enterprises. The macro - level shows that the Ministry of Commerce's international trade negotiation representative visited Canada and will then go to the United States. The fundamental situation is that the demand side has high pig iron production, the mine - end inventory pressure has eased, and the total coking coal inventory has increased. The average profit per ton of coke of 30 independent coking plants is 23 yuan/ton. Technically, the daily K - line is between the 20 and 60 - day moving averages, and the market is in a range - bound operation [2].