Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy-B" rating for the company [1][6] Core Views - The company achieved a record high quarterly performance in Q2 2025, with revenue of 990 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 5.5%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 80 million yuan, a significant increase of 41.4% year-on-year [4] - The competitive landscape for hot melt adhesives is favorable, with the industry reaching a turning point, supported by the introduction of a child-rearing subsidy policy that is expected to boost the sanitary materials industry [5][6] Financial Performance - For the first half of 2025, the company reported a revenue of 990 million yuan, with a net profit of 80 million yuan, and a net profit excluding non-recurring items of 73 million yuan, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 37.2% [4] - The company’s revenue for Q2 2025 was 490 million yuan, showing a year-on-year increase of 6.2% [4] - The company’s earnings per share (EPS) for 2025 is projected to be 2.69 yuan, with a net profit forecast of 216 million yuan, representing a year-on-year growth of 176.6% [11] Market Position and Strategy - The company has successfully captured market share from major competitors and has expanded its production capacity significantly, with new facilities in Poland, Guangzhou, and Malaysia totaling approximately 240,000 tons [4][5] - The company has enhanced its research and development capabilities, achieving product performance and cost advantages that meet the standards of developed countries [5] Future Outlook - The company’s net profit forecasts for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are 216 million yuan, 280 million yuan, and 324 million yuan respectively, with corresponding price-to-earnings (P/E) ratios of 16, 13, and 11 times [6][11] - The introduction of the child-rearing subsidy policy is expected to gradually stabilize birth rates, benefiting the domestic hot melt adhesive industry [5]
聚胶股份（301283）：卫材热熔胶25Q2淡季不淡，超强格局下持续成长