Yongan Futures(SH:600927) HTSC·2025-08-28 09:13Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Accumulate" rating for the company [7][5]. Core Views - The company reported a significant improvement in Q2 performance, with a notable recovery in investment income compared to Q1, leading to a Q2 net profit of 1.61 billion RMB, a year-on-year decrease of 29.96% but a quarter-on-quarter increase of 1630.64% [1]. - The company initiated a share buyback of 626,800 shares on August 27, signaling confidence to investors [1]. - The company is focusing on enhancing its brokerage and fund sales operations, achieving a 13% increase in domestic futures trading volume and a 4% increase in brokerage fee income year-on-year [2]. - The risk management business remains strong, with a 72% year-on-year growth in off-exchange derivatives business nominal amount, reaching 1,603 billion RMB [3]. - The overseas business is also growing steadily, with a 5% increase in revenue and a significant 185.5% growth in new fund sales [4]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In the first half of 2025, the company achieved a revenue of 55.56 billion RMB, a year-on-year decrease of 54.12%, primarily due to accounting adjustments [1]. - The net profit attributable to shareholders was 1.70 billion RMB, down 44.69% year-on-year, but Q2 showed a recovery with a net profit of 1.61 billion RMB [1][5]. Business Segments - The brokerage business is showing steady growth, with a daily average equity scale improvement and a 4% increase in net income from brokerage fees [2]. - The risk management business is leading the industry, with a total spot trading volume of 196.46 billion RMB and a 23% increase in market-making business volume [3]. - The overseas business segment reported a revenue of 1.24 billion RMB, with a 5% year-on-year increase, and plans to establish a subsidiary in the UK [4]. Earnings Forecast and Valuation - The company adjusted its earnings per share (EPS) estimates for 2025-2027 to 0.35, 0.39, and 0.42 RMB respectively, reflecting an increase of 21%, 15%, and 9% [5]. - The target price is set at 20.84 RMB, corresponding to a price-to-book (PB) ratio of 1.7 times for 2025 [5].