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纽威数控(688697):2025年中报点评:业绩短期承压,研发投入持续加码

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Accumulate" rating for the company, indicating a positive outlook for future performance [1][10]. Core Views - The company has shown steady revenue growth, with a 9.99% year-on-year increase in revenue for the first half of 2025, reaching 1.278 billion yuan. However, the net profit attributable to shareholders has faced short-term pressure, declining by 10.17% year-on-year to 130 million yuan [2][10]. - The company's gross margin has decreased, with a gross margin of 20.26% in the first half of 2025, down 5.06 percentage points year-on-year. This decline is attributed to increased competition and changes in accounting standards [3][10]. - The company continues to invest heavily in research and development, with R&D expenses increasing by 12.55% year-on-year to 65 million yuan in the first half of 2025. This investment aims to enhance product competitiveness and support the localization of core components [4][10]. Revenue and Profitability - The total revenue forecast for the company is projected to grow from 2.321 billion yuan in 2023 to 3.668 billion yuan by 2027, reflecting a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of approximately 16.17% [1][11]. - The net profit attributable to shareholders is expected to increase from 317.65 million yuan in 2023 to 443.96 million yuan in 2027, with a slight dip in 2025 to 325.69 million yuan [1][11]. Product Performance - Revenue from vertical CNC machines has increased by 16.73% year-on-year, while horizontal CNC machines have seen a 14.40% increase. This growth is primarily due to ongoing R&D and technological upgrades in high-end CNC machines [2][4]. Future Growth Potential - The company plans to invest 850 million yuan in the construction of a new high-end intelligent CNC equipment project, which is expected to be completed by June 2027. This project aims to expand production capacity and open up long-term growth opportunities [4][10].