Xiangcai Securities·2025-08-28 12:41Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Accumulate" (maintained) [4] Core Views - The company's profitability has improved, with a narrowing decline in non-interest income. For the first half of 2025, the company's operating revenue decreased by 3.0% year-on-year, while the net profit attributable to shareholders increased by 1.1 percentage points to 2.8% [6] - The company is experiencing rapid asset expansion, with total assets growing significantly, primarily due to an increase in financial investments, which now account for 28.1% of total assets. Loan growth remains stable, although the growth rate is slowing [7] - The company's operational stability has strengthened, with an increase in the mid-term dividend payout ratio. The mid-term dividend payout ratio rose to 30.7%, an increase of 1.5 percentage points compared to the same period last year [8] Financial Performance Summary - For the first half of 2025, the company's net interest income decreased by 1.9% year-on-year, primarily due to a decline in interest margins. The net interest margin for the first half was 1.63%, down 14 basis points year-on-year [11] - The company has seen a 3.4% year-on-year increase in net fee income, driven by its focus on wealth management and comprehensive financing services [11] - The company's total assets grew by 8.3% year-on-year, with loans increasing by 10.5% year-on-year, while the personal loan growth rate slowed to 0.9% [12] - The non-performing loan ratio remained stable at 1.16%, with a provision coverage ratio of 207.53%, indicating a solid asset quality [12] Earnings Forecast - The forecast for net profit attributable to shareholders for 2025 is 70,267 million yuan, with a growth rate of 2.5%. The expected earnings per share (EPS) for 2025 is 1.28 yuan [9][13] - The projected price-to-book (PB) ratios for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are 0.50, 0.46, and 0.42, respectively [9][13]