Changjiang Securities·2025-08-28 15:18Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" and is maintained [9]. Core Views - The company focuses on the dual tracks of rail transit and low-altitude economy, consolidating and expanding its advantages in the full industry chain of rail transit communication signal engineering design, train control system equipment, and engineering technical services. It is also cultivating the low-altitude airspace management, drone manufacturing, and service operation industries, accelerating the construction of a "three industries and one state" industrial pattern in the low-altitude economy. The rail transit business is experiencing upward momentum, and the low-altitude sector is expected to become a second growth curve [2][6]. Financial Performance - In the first half of 2025, the company achieved total revenue of 14.73 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 2.77%. The net profit attributable to the parent company was 1.62 billion yuan, up 1.34% year-on-year. In Q2 2025, revenue reached 8 billion yuan, representing a year-on-year increase of 3% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 19%. The net profit for Q2 was 1.06 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 6% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 89% [6][9]. Revenue Breakdown - The revenue breakdown for the first half of 2025 shows that the railway sector generated 8.32 billion yuan, down 7.87% year-on-year, primarily due to differences in project construction progress. The urban rail sector generated 3.92 billion yuan, up 12.85% year-on-year, supported by a substantial backlog of orders and new contract signings. The overseas sector generated 944 million yuan, up 55.92% year-on-year, due to ongoing progress in overseas projects such as the Guinea Masisi Railway. The engineering general contracting and other sectors generated 1.48 billion yuan, up 29.93% year-on-year, due to increased performance progress of previously contracted projects [6][11]. Order Status - As of the end of Q2 2025, the company had a backlog of orders amounting to 117.56 billion yuan, with sufficient orders to support future deliveries. The company’s inventory was 3.83 billion yuan, showing a slight year-on-year increase, while contract assets were 33 billion yuan, with a slight increase quarter-on-quarter. Contract liabilities exceeded 10 billion yuan [11][12]. Growth Opportunities - The company is actively developing the domestic low-altitude economy market, having completed the deployment of 15 platforms in cities such as Qingdao and Xiong'an. Collaborations with various partners are underway to enhance low-altitude communication solutions and applications in emergency rescue and logistics operations [11][12]. Future Profitability - The company is expected to achieve net profits attributable to the parent company of 3.91 billion yuan and 4.46 billion yuan in 2025 and 2026, respectively, corresponding to price-to-earnings ratios of 14.9 and 13.0 times [11][12].