英大证券晨会纪要-20250829

Core Views - The report indicates that the recent drop in A-shares is a short-term technical adjustment rather than a trend reversal, with the market expected to remain in a slow bull market driven by policy guidance [2][10] - Despite the recent recovery, the report suggests that the acceleration of the market may slow down, with a higher probability of entering a period of oscillation in the slow bull market [2][10] - The report emphasizes the importance of rational investment, highlighting the need to balance the long-term opportunities from economic recovery and policy support against the short-term volatility risks from capital market fluctuations [3][11] Market Overview - On Thursday, the market showed signs of recovery after a significant drop on Wednesday, with major indices experiencing a V-shaped rebound and closing higher [5][10] - The total trading volume reached approximately 29,708 billion, with the Shanghai Composite Index closing at 3,843.60 points, up 1.14% [6] - The report notes that the semiconductor, communication equipment, and optical communication module sectors performed strongly, while sectors like agriculture and real estate services saw declines [5][6] Sector Analysis - The communication equipment sector saw significant gains, driven by government support for future industries such as 5G and 6G, with expectations for increased investment opportunities in related companies [7] - The semiconductor sector is highlighted as a long-term investment opportunity, supported by national policies and a growing global demand for AI and high-performance computing, with a projected market growth of over 15% by 2025 [8] - The optical communication module sector is expected to remain in a high prosperity cycle, driven by advancements in AI computing and data center upgrades, making it a focus for investors [9]