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中微公司(688012):业绩符合预期,受益半导体设备国产化

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommendation" rating for the company, indicating an expected stock performance that is better than the market by 10% to 20% over the next six months [13]. Core Insights - The company reported a revenue of 4.961 billion yuan for the first half of 2025, representing a year-over-year increase of 43.88%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 706 million yuan, up 36.62% year-over-year [4][8]. - The company benefits from the domestic production of semiconductor equipment, with significant growth in sales of etching equipment and a strong focus on R&D, which accounted for 30.07% of revenue in the first half of 2025 [8][9]. Financial Performance Summary - Revenue projections for the company are as follows: 2025E at 11.785 billion yuan, 2026E at 15.320 billion yuan, and 2027E at 19.916 billion yuan, with year-over-year growth rates of 30% for 2025-2027 [7][10]. - The net profit is projected to be 2.363 billion yuan in 2025E, 3.084 billion yuan in 2026E, and 4.059 billion yuan in 2027E, with corresponding year-over-year growth rates of 46.2%, 30.5%, and 31.6% respectively [7][10]. - The gross margin is expected to stabilize around 43% from 2025 to 2027, while the net margin is projected to improve slightly from 20% in 2025 to 20.4% in 2027 [11]. R&D and Product Development - The company invested 1.492 billion yuan in R&D in the first half of 2025, a 53.70% increase from the previous year, indicating a strong commitment to innovation and product development [8][9]. - The company has successfully expanded its product lines in etching equipment, with significant orders for both CCP and ICP etching devices, and has maintained a leading position in the MOCVD equipment market [9][10]. Market Position and Outlook - The company is positioned as a leading domestic semiconductor equipment provider, benefiting from the ongoing trend of domestic substitution in the semiconductor industry [9][10]. - The report maintains previous profit forecasts, expecting net profits to reach 2.363 billion yuan in 2025, 3.084 billion yuan in 2026, and 4.059 billion yuan in 2027, with corresponding price-to-earnings ratios of 60x, 46x, and 35x respectively [9][10].