Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for Guolian Minsheng [1] Core Views - The company has significantly improved its operating performance due to the consolidation of Minsheng Securities and high investment returns, with a notable increase in revenue and net profit [8] - The capital market recovery and the impact of consolidation have led to a more than 200% year-on-year increase in brokerage business revenue [8] - The company achieved a substantial increase in investment income, with a year-on-year growth of 458.8% in the first half of 2025 [8] - The report projects a significant increase in net profit for 2025-2027, reflecting the expected benefits from the integration with Minsheng Securities [8] Financial Performance Summary - For 2023A, total revenue is projected at 2,955 million, with a year-on-year growth of 12.68% [1] - The net profit attributable to shareholders is expected to be 671 million, down 12.51% year-on-year [1] - The earnings per share (EPS) for 2025E is estimated at 0.38, with a price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 32.08 [1] - The company anticipates a total revenue of 7,727 million in 2025E, representing a year-on-year increase of 187.97% [1] - The net profit for 2025E is projected at 2,160 million, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 443.60% [1]
国联民生(601456):2025年中报点评:并表民生证券,叠加自营实现高收益,经营业绩大幅提升