燃料油日报：市场驱动有限，盘面窄幅震荡-20250829

Report Summary 1) Report Industry Investment Rating - No specific industry investment rating is provided in the report. 2) Core Viewpoints - The current geopolitical and macro - economic situation is unclear, especially with limited progress in Russia - Ukraine peace talks. The crude oil market faces many uncertainties in the short - term, showing a range - bound oscillation, and the FU and LU fuel oil markets also show narrow - range fluctuations [1]. - High - sulfur fuel oil is in a stage of structural adjustment and market re - balancing, with relatively abundant overall supply. Middle - East high - sulfur fuel oil exports continue to increase and may rise further after the end of the peak power - generation demand season. If the market continues to loosen, it may require a further decline in crack spreads to attract incremental demand from refineries [1]. - Low - sulfur fuel oil currently has limited market pressure. Domestic production remains low, Western - region arbitrage supply has tightened again, and the outer - market monthly spread structure has strengthened slightly. In the short - term, the market structure is relatively stable but lacks strong driving forces. In the medium - term, it still faces the contradiction of demand share substitution and surplus production capacity, so while there is some support below the valuation, there is also significant upward resistance [1]. 3) Strategy Summary - High - sulfur fuel oil: Expected to oscillate [2]. - Low - sulfur fuel oil: Expected to oscillate [2]. - Cross - variety: No strategy provided [2]. - Cross - period: No strategy provided [2]. - Spot - futures: No strategy provided [2]. - Options: No strategy provided [2]. 4) Charts Summary - There are 18 charts in the report, including those showing Singapore high - sulfur 380 fuel oil and low - sulfur fuel oil spot prices, swap near - month contracts, near - month spreads, as well as fuel oil FU and low - sulfur fuel oil LU futures contract closing prices, indices, near - month contract prices, near - month spreads, and trading volume and open interest [3]. - The data sources for these charts are Flush, Steel Union, and Huatai Futures Research Institute [6][7][9]