Guoxin Securities·2025-08-29 05:26Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Outperform the Market" [6][4]. Core Views - The company has achieved significant growth in both business value and investment returns, with a notable increase in profit [1]. - The individual insurance and bank insurance channels have driven substantial growth in new premium income, with year-on-year increases of 5.5% and 65.1% respectively [2]. - The company is focusing on long-term and structured product transformation, leading to a 58.4% year-on-year increase in new business value [3]. - The company maintains a high level of investment returns, with an annualized total investment return rate of 5.9% [3]. Summary by Sections Business Performance - In the first half of 2025, the company achieved original insurance premium income of 121.26 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 22.7%, and a new business value of 6.18 billion yuan, up 58.4% [1]. - The company reported a net profit attributable to shareholders of 14.80 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 33.53% [1]. Channel Performance - The individual insurance channel contributed significantly to new premium income, with first-year premium income for long-term insurance reaching 14.51 billion yuan, a 70.8% increase year-on-year [2]. - The bank insurance channel saw first-year premium income for long-term insurance reach 24.94 billion yuan, a remarkable 150.3% increase year-on-year [2]. Product Strategy - The company is enhancing the proportion of long-term insurance products, with first-year premium income for long-term insurance reaching 25.53 billion yuan, a 64.9% increase year-on-year [3]. - The company is also increasing the share of floating return-type dividend insurance products, with premium income of 18.27 billion yuan, up 24.9% year-on-year [3]. Investment Returns - The company achieved investment income of 18.76 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 33.7%, and interest income of 16.21 billion yuan, up 5.3% [3]. - The company's high-dividend OCI equity investments grew from 30.64 billion yuan at the beginning of the year to 37.47 billion yuan, an increase of 6.83 billion yuan [3]. Financial Forecast - The company maintains its earnings forecast for 2025 to 2027, expecting EPS of 8.28, 8.93, and 9.02 yuan per share respectively, with current stock prices corresponding to P/EV ratios of 0.71, 0.65, and 0.60 [4][5].