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新天绿色能源(00956):天然气业务短期承压风电装机成长可期
Hua Yuan Zheng Quan·2025-08-29 05:49

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [4] Core Views - The natural gas business is under short-term pressure, while wind power installation growth is promising [4] - The company reported a 10.16% year-on-year decline in revenue for H1 2025, with total revenue of 10.904 billion yuan and a net profit of 1.412 billion yuan, reflecting a 1.23% decrease [5] - The controlling shareholder has agreed to subscribe for 307 million new H shares at a price of 4.93 HKD per share, a 16.55% premium over the closing price on August 27, 2025, with proceeds primarily allocated for wind power and gas power projects [5] Summary by Sections Wind Power - In H1 2025, the company added 287.45 MW of wind power capacity, with a total of 6,874.80 MW of installed capacity and 1,401.95 MW under construction [7] - The average utilization hours for wind farms increased by 23 hours year-on-year to 1,235 hours, with a wind power generation of 8.065 billion kWh, an 8.34% increase [7] - The average on-grid electricity price decreased by 0.02 yuan/kWh to 0.42 yuan/kWh, influenced by an increase in market-based trading volume [7] Natural Gas - The natural gas segment faced challenges with a 14.56% year-on-year decline in sales volume, totaling 2.578 billion cubic meters in H1 2025 [9] - Revenue from the natural gas business fell by 15.63% to 7.488 billion yuan, with net profit down 28.51% to 321 million yuan [9] - The decline in sales volume was attributed to warmer winter temperatures and weak industrial demand [9] Financial Forecast and Valuation - The company is projected to achieve net profits of 2.403 billion yuan, 2.645 billion yuan, and 2.887 billion yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively, with growth rates of 43.7%, 10.0%, and 9.2% [9] - The current stock price corresponds to a P/E ratio of 6.7 for 2025, indicating significant investment value [9]